BOSTON
BRUINSBOS
20-15-4 | Road
1
NEW YORK
RANGERSNYR
16-19-1 | Home
2
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Jeremy Swayman
#1 | Goaltender@
GOALTENDER
Jonathan Quick
#32 | Goaltender| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jeremy Swayman | None-None | 2.07 | 0.926 | -- |
| Jonathan Quick | None-None | 1.00 | 0.970 | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
2.07
GAA
Ldr 1.00
0.926
Save %
Ldr 0.970
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
BRUINS
100%
RANGERS
0%
BRUINS
--
RANGERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
4.1
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.9
NEW YORK
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.9 points (New York)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around NYR -0.9 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (NYR)
BOS By 1 goal
12.6%
BOS By 2-3 goals
10.0%
NYR By 1 goal
19.7%
NYR By 2-3 goals
28.7%
AI Model Projected Score
Boston
1.59
BOSTON
New York
2.51
NEW YORK
Simulated Score
Boston
4
BOSTON
New York
3
NEW YORK
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Rangers
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Bruins
Loss
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Rangers (+0)
Win
Proj Goals: -0.9
D
Sim
Bruins (-0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -1.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 4.1
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 7.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Sep 29, 2026
NYR @ BOS
0 - 3
Jan 26, 2026
BOS @ NYR
3 - 4
Jan 10, 2026
NYR @ BOS
2 - 10
Nov 28, 2025
NYR @ BOS
6 - 2
Oct 4, 2025
NYR @ BOS
1 - 4
Key Model Drivers
Takeaways (L5)
+54.8% more
New York: 5.8
vs
Boston: 3.7
Hits (L5)
+18.5% more
New York: 25.9
vs
Boston: 21.9
Shots on Goal (L5)
+18.3% more
New York: 31.2
vs
Boston: 26.4
Power Play % (L5)
+1.6%
New York: 7.4%
vs
Boston: 5.8%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
BOS Score
1.6
1
NYR Score
2.5
2
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
14.8 / 17.3
24.0 / 17.0
Faceoff %
50.7 / 54.9
48.4 / 51.6
Hits
25.9 / 21.9
16.0 / 18.0
Power Play %
743.0 / 579.0
0.0 / 0.0
Shots on Goal
31.2 / 26.4
27.0 / 33.0
Takeaways
5.8 / 3.7
7.0 / 6.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
NYR
BOS
NYR
BOS
ML
80%
4-1
50%
2-2
40%
2-3
50%
2-2
ATS
80%
4-1
50%
2-2
60%
3-2
50%
2-2
TTL
60%
3-2
75%
3-1
60%
3-2
0%
0-4
Contextual Game News
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