OTTAWA
SENATORSOTT
19-15-2 | Road
2
DALLAS
STARSDAL
22-13-1 | Home
4
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Artem Zub
#2 | Defense@
GOALTENDER
Jake Oettinger
#29 | Goaltender| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Artem Zub | None-None | -- | -- | -- |
| Jake Oettinger | None-None | 2.01 | 0.846 | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
--
GAA
2.01
--
Save %
0.846
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
SENATORS
0%
STARS
100%
SENATORS
--
STARS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
5.6
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.5
OTTAWA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.5 points (Ottawa)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-6-4-20+2+4+6
Distribution centered around OTT -0.5 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (OTT)
OTT By 1 goal
19.2%
OTT By 2-3 goals
24.5%
DAL By 1 goal
14.8%
DAL By 2-3 goals
13.3%
AI Model Projected Score
Ottawa
3.04
OTTAWA
Dallas
2.51
DALLAS
Simulated Score
Ottawa
2
OTTAWA
Dallas
4
DALLAS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Senators
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Stars
Win
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Senators (-0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -0.5
D
Sim
Stars (+0)
Win
Proj Goals: -2.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 5.6
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 6.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Nov 30, 2025
OTT @ DAL
1 - 6
Nov 11, 2025
DAL @ OTT
3 - 2
Jan 12, 2025
DAL @ OTT
2 - 3
Jan 2, 2025
OTT @ DAL
2 - 4
Feb 22, 2024
DAL @ OTT
1 - 4
Key Model Drivers
Takeaways (L5)
+37.9% more
Ottawa: 4.5
vs
Dallas: 2.8
Hits (L5)
+37.4% more
Ottawa: 19.2
vs
Dallas: 12.0
Power Play % (L5)
+23.5%
Ottawa: 29.0%
vs
Dallas: 5.5%
Blocked Shots (L5)
+11.1% more
Ottawa: 13.2
vs
Dallas: 11.7
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
OTT Score
3.0
2
DAL Score
2.5
4
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
11.7 / 13.2
18.0 / 19.0
Faceoff %
59.8 / 55.4
60.0 / 40.0
Hits
12.0 / 19.2
11.0 / 29.0
Power Play %
5.5 / 29.0
20.0 / 0.0
Shots on Goal
33.1 / 31.0
25.0 / 13.0
Takeaways
2.8 / 4.5
7.0 / 1.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
DAL
OTT
DAL
OTT
ML
33%
1-2
0%
0-3
33%
1-2
67%
2-1
ATS
0%
0-3
0%
0-3
33%
1-2
67%
2-1
TTL
100%
3-0
67%
2-1
33%
1-2
67%
2-1
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