Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Pavel Mintyukov
#98 | Defense@
GOALTENDER
Connor Hellebuyck
#37 | Goaltender| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pavel Mintyukov | None-None | -- | -- | -- |
| Connor Hellebuyck | None-None | 3.78 | 0.833 | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
--
GAA
3.78
--
Save %
0.833
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
DUCKS
100%
JETS
0%
DUCKS
--
JETS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
6.1
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-2.5
WINNIPEG
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +2.5 points (Winnipeg)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around WPG -2.5 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (WPG)
ANA By 1 goal
4.3%
ANA By 2-3 goals
2.1%
WPG By 1 goal
14.8%
WPG By 2-3 goals
38.3%
AI Model Projected Score
Anaheim
1.78
ANAHEIM
Winnipeg
4.31
WINNIPEG
Simulated Score
Anaheim
3
ANAHEIM
Winnipeg
4
WINNIPEG
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Jets
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Jets
Loss
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Jets (+0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -2.5
D
Sim
Jets (+0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -1.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 6.1
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 7.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 10, 2026
ANA @ WPG
4 - 1
Feb 27, 2026
WPG @ ANA
4 - 5
Nov 9, 2025
WPG @ ANA
1 - 4
Apr 16, 2025
ANA @ WPG
1 - 2
Jan 2, 2025
ANA @ WPG
4 - 3
Key Model Drivers
Takeaways (L5)
+89.0% more
Winnipeg: 5.3
vs
Anaheim: 2.8
Power Play % (L5)
+24.0%
Winnipeg: 26.7%
vs
Anaheim: 2.7%
Blocked Shots (L5)
+17.5% more
Winnipeg: 19.5
vs
Anaheim: 16.6
Shots on Goal (L5)
+16.9% more
Anaheim: 29.8
vs
Winnipeg: 24.7
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
ANA Score
1.8
4
WPG Score
4.3
3
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
19.5 / 16.6
9.0 / 22.0
Faceoff %
49.3 / 49.3
64.0 / 36.0
Hits
20.2 / 20.9
26.0 / 44.0
Power Play %
2674.0 / 270.0
0.0 / 0.0
Shots on Goal
24.7 / 29.8
30.0 / 24.0
Takeaways
5.3 / 2.8
8.0 / 4.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
WPG
ANA
WPG
ANA
ML
50%
2-2
33%
1-2
25%
1-3
67%
2-1
ATS
25%
1-3
33%
1-2
100%
4-0
33%
1-2
TTL
50%
2-2
33%
1-2
50%
2-2
0%
0-3