PHILADELPHIA
76ERSPHI
12-17 | Road
125
PORTLAND
TRAIL BLAZERSPOR
11-20 | Home
103
AI Model Win Probability
76ERS
0%
TRAIL BLAZERS
100%
76ERS
--
TRAIL BLAZERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
224.7
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.9
PHILADELPHIA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.9 points (Philadelphia)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around PHI -0.9 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (PHI)
PHI By 1-7 points
26.2%
PHI By 8-14 points
16.9%
POR By 1-7 points
24.3%
POR By 8-14 points
13.8%
AI Model Projected Score
Philadelphia
112.82
PHILADELPHIA
Portland
111.87
PORTLAND
Simulated Score
Philadelphia
112
PHILADELPHIA
Portland
105
PORTLAND
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
76ers
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
76ers
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
76ers (-0)
Win
Proj Spread: -0.9
D
Sim
76ers (-0)
Win
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 224.7
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 217.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 15, 2026
POR @ PHI
103 - 109
Feb 9, 2026
PHI @ POR
118 - 135
Mar 3, 2025
POR @ PHI
119 - 102
Dec 30, 2024
PHI @ POR
125 - 103
Jan 29, 2024
PHI @ POR
104 - 130
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+33.1% more
Philadelphia: 11.8
vs
Portland: 7.9
Free Throw % (L5)
+4.4%
Philadelphia: 81.8%
vs
Portland: 77.4%
Turnovers (L5)
+37.0% more
Portland: 13.9
vs
Philadelphia: 10.1
Rebounding (L5)
+19.4% more
Portland: 46.2
vs
Philadelphia: 38.7
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
PHI Score
112.8
125
POR Score
111.9
103
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
36.4 / 37.3
22.2 / 45.8
Assists
25.5 / 22.9
23.0 / 20.0
Blocks
5.6 / 5.3
4.0 / 3.0
Field Goal %
47.8 / 44.5
48.1 / 57.3
Free Throw %
77.4 / 81.8
70.0 / 90.3
Rebounding
46.2 / 38.7
33.0 / 32.0
Steals
7.9 / 11.8
8.0 / 12.0
Turnovers
13.9 / 10.1
26.0 / 19.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
PHI
Advantage
50-44-0
(53.2%)
Margin: -1.2
ATS +/-: -0.8
POR
44-44-0
(50.0%)
Margin: -0.9
ATS +/-: -0.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
PHI
Advantage
50-44-0
(53.2%)
Margin: -1.2
ATS +/-: -0.8
POR
46-42-0
(52.3%)
Margin: -0.9
ATS +/-: -0.4
⚖️ Over/Under
PHI
44-50-0
O: 46.8% / U: 53.2%
Total +/-: +1.4
POR
44-44-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0%
Total +/-: -1.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
POR
PHI
POR
PHI
ML
53%
56-49
63%
69-40
55%
49-40
48%
45-48
ATS
62%
65-39-1
65%
71-38
55%
49-40
48%
45-48
TTL
56%
58-46-1
55%
60-49
100%
89-0
100%
93-0
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