NEW YORK
RANGERSNYR
16-18-1 | Road
3
FLORIDA
PANTHERSFLA
22-13-2 | Home
5
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Igor Shesterkin
#31 | Goaltender@
GOALTENDER
Dmitry Kulikov
#7 | Defense| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Igor Shesterkin | None-None | 4.15 | 0.840 | -- |
| Dmitry Kulikov | None-None | -- | -- | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
4.15
GAA
--
0.840
Save %
--
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
RANGERS
100%
PANTHERS
0%
RANGERS
--
PANTHERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
3.5
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.6
FLORIDA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.6 points (Florida)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around FLA -0.6 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (FLA)
NYR By 1 goal
14.4%
NYR By 2-3 goals
12.7%
FLA By 1 goal
19.4%
FLA By 2-3 goals
25.3%
AI Model Projected Score
New York
1.46
NEW YORK
Florida
2.06
FLORIDA
Simulated Score
New York
3
NEW YORK
Florida
5
FLORIDA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Panthers
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Panthers
Win
50% Win Prob
B
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Panthers (+0)
Win
Proj Goals: -0.6
D
Sim
Panthers (+0)
Win
Proj Goals: -2.0
B
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 3.5
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 8.0
B
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Apr 13, 2026
NYR @ FLA
2 - 3
Mar 29, 2026
FLA @ NYR
1 - 3
Jan 2, 2026
NYR @ FLA
5 - 1
Apr 14, 2025
NYR @ FLA
5 - 3
Dec 30, 2024
NYR @ FLA
3 - 5
Key Model Drivers
Power Play % (L5)
+16.8%
Florida: 18.0%
vs
New York: 1.2%
Blocked Shots (L5)
+16.1% more
Florida: 13.5
vs
New York: 11.6
Shots on Goal (L5)
+9.7% more
Florida: 32.2
vs
New York: 29.3
Takeaways (L5)
+33.5% more
New York: 5.2
vs
Florida: 3.5
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
NYR Score
1.5
3
FLA Score
2.1
5
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
13.5 / 11.6
13.0 / 21.0
Faceoff %
52.5 / 53.5
54.9 / 45.1
Hits
26.2 / 27.9
23.0 / 22.0
Power Play %
18.0 / 1.2
0.0 / 20.0
Shots on Goal
32.2 / 29.3
26.0 / 35.0
Takeaways
3.5 / 5.2
7.0 / 7.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
FLA
NYR
FLA
NYR
ML
0%
0-4
80%
4-1
0%
0-4
40%
2-3
ATS
25%
1-3
80%
4-1
50%
2-2
60%
3-2
TTL
25%
1-3
60%
3-2
0%
0-4
60%
3-2
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