EDMONTON
OILERSEDM
21-11-3 | Road
3
ANAHEIM
DUCKSANA
13-17-4 | Home
5
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Ty Emberson
#49 | Defense@
GOALTENDER
Lukas Dostal
#1 | Goaltender| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ty Emberson | None-None | -- | -- | -- |
| Lukas Dostal | None-None | 3.06 | 0.870 | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
--
GAA
3.06
--
Save %
0.870
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
OILERS
0%
DUCKS
100%
OILERS
--
DUCKS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
6.1
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-2.1
EDMONTON
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +2.0 points (Edmonton)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-6-4-20+2+4+6
Distribution centered around EDM -2.1 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (EDM)
EDM By 1 goal
17.2%
EDM By 2-3 goals
37.4%
ANA By 1 goal
6.3%
ANA By 2-3 goals
3.5%
AI Model Projected Score
Edmonton
4.05
EDMONTON
Anaheim
2
ANAHEIM
Simulated Score
Edmonton
4
EDMONTON
Anaheim
2
ANAHEIM
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Oilers
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Oilers
Loss
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Oilers (-0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -2.1
D
Sim
Oilers (-0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -2.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 6.1
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 6.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Oct 7, 2026
EDM @ ANA
5 - 2
Apr 30, 2026
EDM @ ANA
2 - 5
Apr 28, 2026
ANA @ EDM
1 - 4
Apr 24, 2026
EDM @ ANA
4 - 7
Apr 22, 2026
ANA @ EDM
6 - 4
Key Model Drivers
Takeaways (L5)
+34.5% more
Edmonton: 6.2
vs
Anaheim: 4.1
Power Play % (L5)
+22.8%
Edmonton: 28.8%
vs
Anaheim: 6.1%
Hits (L5)
+59.9% more
Anaheim: 20.6
vs
Edmonton: 12.9
Shots on Goal (L5)
+10.2% more
Anaheim: 31.5
vs
Edmonton: 28.6
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
EDM Score
4.1
3
ANA Score
2.0
5
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
15.1 / 14.5
13.0 / 14.0
Faceoff %
46.7 / 47.9
60.0 / 40.0
Hits
20.6 / 12.9
26.0 / 13.0
Power Play %
6.1 / 28.8
0.0 / 66.7
Shots on Goal
31.5 / 28.6
32.0 / 23.0
Takeaways
4.1 / 6.2
3.0 / 5.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
ANA
EDM
ANA
EDM
ML
33%
1-2
75%
3-1
67%
2-1
50%
2-2
ATS
33%
1-2
75%
3-1
33%
1-2
25%
1-3
TTL
33%
1-2
25%
1-3
0%
0-3
25%
1-3
Contextual Game News
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