WASHINGTON
CAPITALSWSH
24-9-2 | Road
2
DETROIT
RED WINGSDET
13-18-4 | Home
4
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Charlie Lindgren
#79 | Goaltender@
GOALTENDER
Moritz Seider
#53 | Defense| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charlie Lindgren | None-None | 4.13 | 0.852 | -- |
| Moritz Seider | None-None | -- | -- | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
4.13
GAA
--
0.852
Save %
--
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
CAPITALS
100%
RED WINGS
0%
CAPITALS
--
RED WINGS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
5.3
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.1
DETROIT
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.1 points (Detroit)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around DET -0.1 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (DET)
WSH By 1 goal
17.2%
WSH By 2-3 goals
17.9%
DET By 1 goal
17.8%
DET By 2-3 goals
19.4%
AI Model Projected Score
Washington
2.62
WASHINGTON
Detroit
2.69
DETROIT
Simulated Score
Washington
3
WASHINGTON
Detroit
2
DETROIT
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Red Wings
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Capitals
Loss
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Red Wings (+0)
Win
Proj Goals: -0.1
D
Sim
Capitals (-0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -1.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 5.3
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 5.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jan 29, 2026
WSH @ DET
4 - 3
Dec 21, 2025
WSH @ DET
2 - 3
Dec 20, 2025
DET @ WSH
5 - 2
Mar 18, 2025
DET @ WSH
1 - 4
Mar 7, 2025
DET @ WSH
2 - 5
Key Model Drivers
Hits (L5)
+14.7% more
Detroit: 21.3
vs
Washington: 18.6
Faceoff % (L5)
+3.2%
Detroit: 51.6%
vs
Washington: 48.4%
Takeaways (L5)
+50.1% more
Washington: 5.6
vs
Detroit: 2.8
Power Play % (L5)
+44.6%
Washington: 58.5%
vs
Detroit: 13.9%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
WSH Score
2.6
2
DET Score
2.7
4
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
12.7 / 15.8
18.0 / 9.0
Faceoff %
51.6 / 48.4
52.8 / 47.2
Hits
21.3 / 18.6
12.0 / 24.0
Power Play %
13.9 / 58.5
25.0 / 0.0
Shots on Goal
23.5 / 23.8
27.0 / 27.0
Takeaways
2.8 / 5.6
2.0 / 0.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
DET
WSH
DET
WSH
ML
67%
2-1
100%
3-0
33%
1-2
67%
2-1
ATS
33%
1-2
100%
3-0
67%
2-1
67%
2-1
TTL
0%
0-3
33%
1-2
33%
1-2
33%
1-2
Contextual Game News
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Ovechkin's Sons Steal the Show as Capitals Clip Penguins 5-3 in …
Penguins Embarrassed by Capitals as Turnovers and Disorganizatio…
Dylan Larkin Scores in Return to Red Wings Lineup Amid Trade Req…