DALLAS
STARSDAL
20-13-1 | Road
5
CHICAGO
BLACKHAWKSCHI
12-22-2 | Home
1
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Jake Oettinger
#29 | Goaltender@
GOALTENDER
Arvid Soderblom
#40 | Goaltender| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jake Oettinger | None-None | 1.00 | 0.960 | -- |
| Arvid Soderblom | None-None | 5.00 | 0.857 | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
1.00 Ldr
GAA
5.00
0.960 Ldr
Save %
0.857
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
STARS
0%
BLACKHAWKS
100%
STARS
--
BLACKHAWKS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
5.4
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.2
DALLAS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.2 points (Dallas)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-6-4-20+2+4+6
Distribution centered around DAL -0.2 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (DAL)
DAL By 1 goal
18.3%
DAL By 2-3 goals
21.1%
CHI By 1 goal
16.5%
CHI By 2-3 goals
16.3%
AI Model Projected Score
Dallas
2.8
DALLAS
Chicago
2.58
CHICAGO
Simulated Score
Dallas
3
DALLAS
Chicago
2
CHICAGO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Stars
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Stars
Win
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Stars (-0)
Win
Proj Goals: -0.2
D
Sim
Stars (-0)
Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 5.4
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 5.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 8, 2026
CHI @ DAL
3 - 4
Jan 1, 2026
DAL @ CHI
3 - 4
Dec 27, 2025
CHI @ DAL
4 - 3
Dec 29, 2024
DAL @ CHI
5 - 1
Nov 27, 2024
DAL @ CHI
2 - 6
Key Model Drivers
Shots on Goal (L5)
+26.6% more
Dallas: 32.2
vs
Chicago: 23.7
Blocked Shots (L5)
+10.8% more
Dallas: 14.1
vs
Chicago: 12.6
Faceoff % (L5)
+2.9%
Dallas: 50.3%
vs
Chicago: 47.3%
Hits (L5)
+56.1% more
Chicago: 25.0
vs
Dallas: 16.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
DAL Score
2.8
5
CHI Score
2.6
1
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
12.6 / 14.1
12.0 / 8.0
Faceoff %
47.3 / 50.3
41.5 / 58.5
Hits
25.0 / 16.0
19.0 / 7.0
Power Play %
9.3 / 5.2
25.0 / 14.3
Shots on Goal
23.7 / 32.2
25.0 / 35.0
Takeaways
3.9 / 4.1
5.0 / 3.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CHI
DAL
CHI
DAL
ML
75%
3-1
33%
1-2
75%
3-1
33%
1-2
ATS
75%
3-1
0%
0-3
100%
4-0
33%
1-2
TTL
33%
1-2-1
100%
3-0
67%
2-1-1
33%
1-2
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