MILWAUKEE
BUCKSMIL
16-13 | Road
111
CHICAGO
BULLSCHI
13-18 | Home
116
AI Model Win Probability
BUCKS
0%
BULLS
100%
BUCKS
--
BULLS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
216.4
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-6.4
MILWAUKEE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +6.4 points (Milwaukee)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around MIL -6.4 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (MIL)
MIL By 1-7 points
26.6%
MIL By 8-14 points
24.8%
CHI By 1-7 points
16.2%
CHI By 8-14 points
6.4%
AI Model Projected Score
Milwaukee
111.4
MILWAUKEE
Chicago
104.97
CHICAGO
Simulated Score
Milwaukee
112
MILWAUKEE
Chicago
106
CHICAGO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Bucks
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Bucks
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Bucks (-0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -6.4
D
Sim
Bucks (-0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -6.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 216.4
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 218.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 1, 2026
MIL @ CHI
97 - 120
Feb 3, 2026
CHI @ MIL
115 - 131
Dec 27, 2025
MIL @ CHI
112 - 103
Nov 7, 2025
CHI @ MIL
110 - 126
Oct 12, 2025
MIL @ CHI
127 - 121
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+20.1% more
Milwaukee: 10.1
vs
Chicago: 8.1
Turnovers (L5)
+17.2% more
Milwaukee: 17.6
vs
Chicago: 14.6
Blocks (L5)
+8.6% more
Milwaukee: 3.0
vs
Chicago: 2.8
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+2.8%
Milwaukee: 40.1%
vs
Chicago: 37.3%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
MIL Score
111.4
111
CHI Score
105.0
116
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
37.3 / 40.1
38.9 / 33.3
Assists
30.5 / 25.5
33.0 / 27.0
Blocks
2.8 / 3.0
6.0 / 7.0
Field Goal %
45.9 / 47.3
47.4 / 40.2
Free Throw %
82.9 / 72.5
70.6 / 100.0
Rebounding
42.7 / 43.7
52.0 / 43.0
Steals
8.1 / 10.1
4.0 / 6.0
Turnovers
14.6 / 17.6
11.0 / 8.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
MIL
Advantage
32-50-0
(39.0%)
Margin: -6.2
ATS +/-: -3.0
CHI
31-51-0
(37.8%)
Margin: -5.2
ATS +/-: -1.9
🎯 ATS (Spread)
MIL
36-46-0
(43.9%)
Margin: -6.2
ATS +/-: -3.0
CHI
Advantage
39-43-0
(47.6%)
Margin: -5.2
ATS +/-: -1.9
⚖️ Over/Under
MIL
39-43-0
O: 47.6% / U: 52.4%
Total +/-: +1.4
CHI
38-44-0
O: 46.3% / U: 53.7%
Total +/-: +0.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CHI
MIL
CHI
MIL
ML
56%
54-42
64%
61-35
57%
46-35
60%
49-32
ATS
65%
62-33-1
68%
65-31
57%
46-35
60%
49-32
TTL
58%
56-40
55%
53-43
100%
81-0
100%
81-0
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