CHICAGO
BLACKHAWKSCHI
12-21-2 | Road
2
BUFFALO
SABRESBUF
12-19-4 | Home
6
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Arvid Soderblom
#40 | Goaltender@
GOALTENDER
Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
#1 | Goaltender| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arvid Soderblom | None-None | 3.00 | 0.917 | -- |
| Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen | None-None | 2.01 | 0.882 | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
3.00
GAA
Ldr 2.01
0.917 Ldr
Save %
0.882
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
BLACKHAWKS
100%
SABRES
0%
BLACKHAWKS
--
SABRES
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
5.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.8
BUFFALO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.8 points (Buffalo)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around BUF -0.8 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (BUF)
CHI By 1 goal
13.3%
CHI By 2-3 goals
10.9%
BUF By 1 goal
19.6%
BUF By 2-3 goals
27.5%
AI Model Projected Score
Chicago
2.12
CHICAGO
Buffalo
2.92
BUFFALO
Simulated Score
Chicago
3
CHICAGO
Buffalo
5
BUFFALO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Sabres
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Sabres
Win
50% Win Prob
B
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Sabres (+0)
Win
Proj Goals: -0.8
D
Sim
Sabres (+0)
Win
Proj Goals: -2.0
B
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 5.0
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 8.0
B
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Oct 3, 2026
CHI @ BUF
3 - 4
Apr 13, 2026
BUF @ CHI
5 - 1
Nov 21, 2025
CHI @ BUF
3 - 9
Dec 27, 2024
CHI @ BUF
2 - 6
Oct 19, 2024
BUF @ CHI
4 - 2
Key Model Drivers
Blocked Shots (L5)
+41.3% more
Buffalo: 20.3
vs
Chicago: 14.4
Power Play % (L5)
+8.2%
Buffalo: 22.1%
vs
Chicago: 13.9%
Shots on Goal (L5)
+11.1% more
Chicago: 27.0
vs
Buffalo: 24.0
Faceoff % (L5)
+2.6%
Chicago: 46.5%
vs
Buffalo: 43.9%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
CHI Score
2.1
2
BUF Score
2.9
6
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
20.3 / 14.4
11.0 / 9.0
Faceoff %
43.9 / 46.5
51.0 / 49.0
Hits
20.8 / 20.0
24.0 / 35.0
Power Play %
2213.0 / 1390.0
0.0 / 0.0
Shots on Goal
24.0 / 27.0
35.0 / 17.0
Takeaways
3.7 / 3.9
5.0 / 4.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
BUF
CHI
BUF
CHI
ML
67%
2-1
75%
3-1
67%
2-1
75%
3-1
ATS
33%
1-2
75%
3-1
100%
3-0
100%
4-0
TTL
33%
1-2
33%
1-2-1
33%
1-2
67%
2-1-1
Contextual Game News
Islanders Shuffle Defense Pairings in Wake of Romanov's ACL Tear
Gavin McKenna Nets First NHL Goal and Assist in Maple Leafs' Ove…
Blackhawks Celebrate Kane's Return with First Win of Season
Northern Michigan vs. No. 3 Michigan State: Season Opener Previe…
Blackhawks Edge Blues 4-2 in Kane's Emotional Chicago Homecoming