MINNESOTA
WILDMIN
21-10-4 | Road
3
DALLAS
STARSDAL
20-13-0 | Home
2
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Filip Gustavsson
#32 | Goaltender@
GOALTENDER
Jake Oettinger
#29 | Goaltender| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Filip Gustavsson | None-None | 1.98 | 0.931 | -- |
| Jake Oettinger | None-None | 2.97 | 0.833 | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
1.98 Ldr
GAA
2.97
0.931 Ldr
Save %
0.833
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
WILD
100%
STARS
0%
WILD
--
STARS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
4.7
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.2
DALLAS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.2 points (Dallas)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around DAL -1.2 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (DAL)
MIN By 1 goal
10.7%
MIN By 2-3 goals
7.7%
DAL By 1 goal
19.6%
DAL By 2-3 goals
31.8%
AI Model Projected Score
Minnesota
1.73
MINNESOTA
Dallas
2.96
DALLAS
Simulated Score
Minnesota
3
MINNESOTA
Dallas
5
DALLAS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Stars
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Stars
Loss
50% Win Prob
B
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Stars (+0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -1.2
D
Sim
Stars (+0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -2.0
B
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 4.7
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 8.0
B
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Apr 30, 2026
DAL @ MIN
2 - 5
Apr 28, 2026
MIN @ DAL
4 - 2
Apr 25, 2026
DAL @ MIN
2 - 3
Apr 22, 2026
DAL @ MIN
4 - 3
Apr 18, 2026
MIN @ DAL
6 - 1
Key Model Drivers
Shots on Goal (L5)
+33.5% more
Dallas: 33.8
vs
Minnesota: 25.3
Takeaways (L5)
+18.3% more
Dallas: 4.1
vs
Minnesota: 3.5
Faceoff % (L5)
+4.9%
Dallas: 51.3%
vs
Minnesota: 46.4%
Hits (L5)
+20.8% more
Minnesota: 19.0
vs
Dallas: 15.1
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
MIN Score
1.7
3
DAL Score
3.0
2
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
13.6 / 13.6
15.0 / 19.0
Faceoff %
51.3 / 46.4
48.1 / 51.9
Hits
15.1 / 19.0
18.0 / 28.0
Power Play %
783.0 / 637.0
0.0 / 0.0
Shots on Goal
33.8 / 25.3
29.0 / 18.0
Takeaways
4.1 / 3.5
4.0 / 5.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
DAL
MIN
DAL
MIN
ML
33%
1-2
67%
2-1
33%
1-2
33%
1-2
ATS
0%
0-3
33%
1-2
33%
1-2
33%
1-2
TTL
100%
3-0
100%
3-0
33%
1-2
67%
2-1
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