CHICAGO
BULLSCHI
13-17 | Road
133
ATLANTA
HAWKSATL
15-15 | Home
141
AI Model Win Probability
BULLS
0%
HAWKS
100%
BULLS
--
HAWKS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
216.1
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-3.6
CHICAGO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +3.6 points (Chicago)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around CHI -3.6 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CHI)
CHI By 1-7 points
27.3%
CHI By 8-14 points
21.1%
ATL By 1-7 points
20.7%
ATL By 8-14 points
9.8%
AI Model Projected Score
Chicago
109.86
CHICAGO
Atlanta
106.25
ATLANTA
Simulated Score
Chicago
114
CHICAGO
Atlanta
108
ATLANTA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Bulls
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Bulls
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Bulls (-0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -3.6
D
Sim
Bulls (-0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -6.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 216.1
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 222.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Dec 23, 2025
CHI @ ATL
126 - 123
Dec 21, 2025
CHI @ ATL
152 - 150
Oct 27, 2025
ATL @ CHI
123 - 128
Jan 15, 2025
ATL @ CHI
110 - 94
Dec 26, 2024
CHI @ ATL
133 - 141
Key Model Drivers
Free Throw % (L5)
+3.4%
Chicago: 82.6%
vs
Atlanta: 79.3%
Blocks (L5)
+59.7% more
Atlanta: 5.8
vs
Chicago: 3.6
Turnovers (L5)
+49.3% more
Atlanta: 20.7
vs
Chicago: 13.8
Steals (L5)
+44.2% more
Atlanta: 11.7
vs
Chicago: 8.1
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
CHI Score
109.9
133
ATL Score
106.3
141
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
41.2 / 30.3
37.8 / 51.2
Assists
28.3 / 27.8
32.0 / 36.0
Blocks
5.8 / 3.6
5.0 / 1.0
Field Goal %
48.6 / 41.9
51.7 / 54.1
Free Throw %
79.3 / 82.6
94.1 / 83.3
Rebounding
44.2 / 46.1
44.0 / 36.0
Steals
11.7 / 8.1
9.0 / 8.0
Turnovers
20.7 / 13.8
14.0 / 16.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CHI
31-51-0
(37.8%)
Margin: -5.2
ATS +/-: -1.9
ATL
Advantage
48-40-0
(54.6%)
Margin: 1.1
ATS +/-: +0.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CHI
39-43-0
(47.6%)
Margin: -5.2
ATS +/-: -1.9
ATL
Advantage
46-42-0
(52.3%)
Margin: 1.1
ATS +/-: +0.3
⚖️ Over/Under
CHI
38-44-0
O: 46.3% / U: 53.7%
Total +/-: +0.5
ATL
44-44-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0%
Total +/-: +0.1
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
ATL
CHI
ATL
CHI
ML
50%
52-52
56%
54-42
55%
48-40
57%
46-35
ATS
53%
55-48-1
65%
62-33-1
55%
48-40
57%
46-35
TTL
53%
55-48-1
58%
56-40
100%
88-0
100%
81-0
Contextual Game News
Cooper Flagg and Mavericks Face Media at NBA China Games in Macao
Matt Barnes: Clippers Are Cursed, Urges Steve Ballmer to Rebrand
ATLAS League Launches to Crown World Champion in High School Bas…
Kyrie Irving Set for Mavericks Return in China After 19-Month AC…
Bill Self's Revamped Kansas Roster Built for Another National Ti…