DETROIT
PISTONSDET
13-17 | Road
114
SACRAMENTO
KINGSSAC
13-17 | Home
113
AI Model Win Probability
PISTONS
100%
KINGS
0%
PISTONS
--
KINGS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
224.2
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.7
SACRAMENTO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.7 points (Sacramento)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around SAC -1.7 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (SAC)
DET By 1-7 points
23.4%
DET By 8-14 points
12.6%
SAC By 1-7 points
26.7%
SAC By 8-14 points
18.1%
AI Model Projected Score
Detroit
111.23
DETROIT
Sacramento
112.94
SACRAMENTO
Simulated Score
Detroit
117
DETROIT
Sacramento
124
SACRAMENTO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Kings
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Kings
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Kings (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -1.7
D
Sim
Kings (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 224.2
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 241.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jan 25, 2026
SAC @ DET
116 - 139
Dec 23, 2025
DET @ SAC
136 - 127
Apr 7, 2025
SAC @ DET
127 - 117
Dec 26, 2024
DET @ SAC
114 - 113
Feb 7, 2024
DET @ SAC
133 - 120
Key Model Drivers
Rebounding (L5)
+15.7% more
Sacramento: 45.4
vs
Detroit: 39.2
Steals (L5)
+33.2% more
Detroit: 10.8
vs
Sacramento: 7.2
Blocks (L5)
+20.9% more
Detroit: 4.9
vs
Sacramento: 3.9
Turnovers (L5)
+9.4% more
Detroit: 13.5
vs
Sacramento: 12.2
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
DET Score
111.2
114
SAC Score
112.9
113
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
33.1 / 39.1
35.9 / 38.6
Assists
25.1 / 27.1
20.0 / 25.0
Blocks
3.9 / 4.9
6.0 / 4.0
Field Goal %
42.7 / 49.9
47.6 / 41.8
Free Throw %
78.4 / 84.0
80.8 / 84.0
Rebounding
45.4 / 39.2
44.0 / 44.0
Steals
7.2 / 10.8
3.0 / 6.0
Turnovers
12.2 / 13.5
14.0 / 10.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
DET
Advantage
67-29-0
(69.8%)
Margin: 7.2
ATS +/-: +2.0
SAC
22-60-0
(26.8%)
Margin: -10.0
ATS +/-: -2.1
🎯 ATS (Spread)
DET
Advantage
50-46-0
(52.1%)
Margin: 7.2
ATS +/-: +2.0
SAC
36-46-0
(43.9%)
Margin: -10.0
ATS +/-: -2.1
⚖️ Over/Under
DET
45-50-1
O: 47.4% / U: 52.6%
Total +/-: -0.8
SAC
43-39-0
O: 52.4% / U: 47.6%
Total +/-: +0.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
SAC
DET
SAC
DET
ML
55%
55-45
55%
64-53
61%
50-32
49%
47-49
ATS
54%
52-45-3
53%
60-54-3
61%
50-32
49%
47-49
TTL
58%
57-42-1
60%
70-46-1
100%
82-0
100%
96-0
Contextual Game News
Cal Bears' Injury Report: Eight Players Questionable for Virgini…
Phoenix Suns 2026-27 Season Preview: Can Devin Booker and the Re…
Jalen Duren Returns to Pistons Camp, Impressing with Speed and E…
Providence Basketball Awaits NCAA Eligibility Verdicts for Dink …
Suns Preseason Opener: Starters Shine, Bench Battles Emerge in L…