Home / NFL Projections NFL / Cardinals @ Rams ARI @ LAR

ARIZONA

CARDINALSARI

7-8  |  Road

9
FINAL
Sat, Dec 28 • 8:00 PM ET
SoFi Stadium
View Odds Details →

LOS ANGELES

RAMSLAR

9-6  |  Home

13
Key Game
Chad Ryland
KEY GAME

Chad Ryland

#38 | Place kicker
@
Ethan Evans
KEY GAME

Ethan Evans

#42 | Punter
Player
Chad Ryland None-None
Ethan Evans None-None
None-None W-L None-None
AI Model Win Probability
CARDINALS
37%
📊
RAMS
63%
CARDINALS --
RAMS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
43.2
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 68%
Under 0 32%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-2.7
LOS ANGELES
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +2.7 points (Los Angeles)
CardinalsARI (-3.5) 0 RamsLAR (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Cardinals Cover

42.4%

Rams Cover

57.6%

+42+28+140-14-28-42
Distribution centered around LAR -2.7 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (LAR)

ARI By 1-6 points

15.4%

ARI By 7-13 points

13.2%

LAR By 1-6 points

16.9%

LAR By 7-13 points

17.3%

AI Model Projected Score
20.25
ARIZONA
22.94
LOS ANGELES
Simulated Score
31
ARIZONA
38
LOS ANGELES
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Rams Win
63% Win Prob
C
Sim Rams Win
50% Win Prob
B
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement 👑 Top Selection
AI Rams (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -2.7
B
Sim Rams (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -7.0
B
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 43.2
C
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 69.0
B
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Jan 4, 2026 ARI @ LAR 20 - 37
Dec 7, 2025 LAR @ ARI 45 - 17
Dec 28, 2024 ARI @ LAR 9 - 13
Sep 15, 2024 LAR @ ARI 10 - 41
Nov 26, 2023 LAR @ ARI 37 - 14
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5) +61.2% more
Arizona: 1.3 vs Los Angeles: 0.5
Rushing Yards (L5) +19.7% more
Arizona: 161.5 vs Los Angeles: 129.7
Total Yards (L5) +16.5% more
Arizona: 376.1 vs Los Angeles: 313.9
Net Passing Yards (L5) +14.2% more
Arizona: 214.6 vs Los Angeles: 184.2
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
ARI Score 20.3 9
LAR Score 22.9 13
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
First Downs 19.3 / 21.8 12.0 / 24.0
Net Passing Yards 184.2 / 214.6 189.0 / 283.0
Rushing Yards 129.7 / 161.5 68.0 / 113.0
Third Down Efficiency 0.4 / 0.5 0.4 / 0.46
Time of Possession 0.5 / 0.5 0.38 / 0.62
Total Yards 313.9 / 376.1 257.0 / 396.0
Turnovers 0.5 / 1.3 0.0 / 2.0
Yards Per Play 5.3 / 5.9 4.8 / 5.4
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
8%TICKETS92%
6%MONEY94%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
36%TICKETS64%
32%MONEY68%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
66%TICKETS34%
66%MONEY34%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
ARI
1-3-0 (25.0%)
Margin: -7.5 ATS +/-: -2.8
LAR Advantage
2-2-0 (50.0%)
Margin: 0.5 ATS +/-: -2.5
🎯 ATS (Spread)
ARI
2-2-0 (50.0%)
Margin: -7.5 ATS +/-: -2.8
LAR
2-2-0 (50.0%)
Margin: 0.5 ATS +/-: -2.5
⚖️ Over/Under
ARI
2-2-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0% Total +/-: +5.8
LAR
2-2-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0% Total +/-: -3.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
LAR
ARI
LAR
ARI
ML
50% 2-2
75% 3-1
25% 1-3
25% 1-3
ATS
50% 2-2
75% 3-1
25% 1-3
50% 2-2
TTL
50% 2-2
50% 2-2
50% 2-2
50% 2-2
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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