PHILADELPHIA
76ERSPHI
10-17 | Road
118
BOSTON
CELTICSBOS
22-7 | Home
114
AI Model Win Probability
76ERS
100%
CELTICS
0%
76ERS
--
CELTICS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
224.4
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-9.9
BOSTON
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +9.9 points (Boston)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around BOS -9.9 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (BOS)
PHI By 1-7 points
10.8%
PHI By 8-14 points
3.3%
BOS By 1-7 points
23.1%
BOS By 8-14 points
27.2%
AI Model Projected Score
Philadelphia
107.22
PHILADELPHIA
Boston
117.15
BOSTON
Simulated Score
Philadelphia
108
PHILADELPHIA
Boston
115
BOSTON
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Celtics
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Celtics
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Celtics (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -9.9
D
Sim
Celtics (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 224.4
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 223.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
May 2, 2026
PHI @ BOS
109 - 100
Apr 30, 2026
BOS @ PHI
93 - 106
Apr 28, 2026
PHI @ BOS
113 - 97
Apr 26, 2026
BOS @ PHI
128 - 96
Apr 24, 2026
BOS @ PHI
108 - 100
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+61.9% more
Boston: 5.4
vs
Philadelphia: 3.3
Rebounding (L5)
+11.4% more
Boston: 48.5
vs
Philadelphia: 43.5
Free Throw % (L5)
+5.3%
Boston: 80.5%
vs
Philadelphia: 75.2%
Steals (L5)
+8.3% more
Philadelphia: 10.2
vs
Boston: 9.4
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
PHI Score
107.2
118
BOS Score
117.2
114
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
30.3 / 35.5
40.8 / 42.5
Assists
21.7 / 21.0
24.0 / 28.0
Blocks
5.4 / 3.3
4.0 / 5.0
Field Goal %
44.5 / 44.3
45.3 / 46.6
Free Throw %
80.5 / 75.2
61.5 / 100.0
Rebounding
48.5 / 43.5
51.0 / 39.0
Steals
9.4 / 10.2
3.0 / 10.0
Turnovers
13.8 / 13.7
13.0 / 6.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
PHI
50-44-0
(53.2%)
Margin: -1.2
ATS +/-: -0.8
BOS
Advantage
59-30-0
(66.3%)
Margin: 7.3
ATS +/-: +2.2
🎯 ATS (Spread)
PHI
50-44-0
(53.2%)
Margin: -1.2
ATS +/-: -0.8
BOS
Advantage
51-38-0
(57.3%)
Margin: 7.3
ATS +/-: +2.2
⚖️ Over/Under
PHI
44-50-0
O: 46.8% / U: 53.2%
Total +/-: +1.4
BOS
32-57-0
O: 36.0% / U: 64.0%
Total +/-: -3.2
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
BOS
PHI
BOS
PHI
ML
57%
61-46
63%
69-40
53%
47-41
48%
45-48
ATS
59%
61-43-3
65%
71-38
53%
47-41
48%
45-48
TTL
56%
60-47
55%
60-49
100%
88-0
100%
93-0
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