BOSTON
CELTICSBOS
22-6 | Road
104
ORLANDO
MAGICORL
18-12 | Home
108
AI Model Win Probability
CELTICS
0%
MAGIC
100%
CELTICS
--
MAGIC
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
229.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-2.5
BOSTON
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +2.5 points (Boston)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around BOS -2.5 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (BOS)
BOS By 1-7 points
27.1%
BOS By 8-14 points
19.3%
ORL By 1-7 points
22.4%
ORL By 8-14 points
11.4%
AI Model Projected Score
Boston
115.76
BOSTON
Orlando
113.28
ORLANDO
Simulated Score
Boston
112
BOSTON
Orlando
108
ORLANDO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Celtics
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Celtics
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Celtics (-0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -2.5
D
Sim
Celtics (-0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 229.0
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 220.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Apr 12, 2026
ORL @ BOS
108 - 113
Nov 23, 2025
ORL @ BOS
129 - 138
Nov 9, 2025
BOS @ ORL
111 - 107
Nov 7, 2025
BOS @ ORL
110 - 123
Apr 29, 2025
ORL @ BOS
89 - 120
Key Model Drivers
Rebounding (L5)
+21.3% more
Boston: 52.3
vs
Orlando: 41.1
Assists (L5)
+11.7% more
Boston: 26.1
vs
Orlando: 23.0
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+3.7%
Boston: 33.3%
vs
Orlando: 29.6%
Turnovers (L5)
+38.0% more
Orlando: 15.5
vs
Boston: 11.3
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
BOS Score
115.8
104
ORL Score
113.3
108
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
29.6 / 33.3
39.4 / 24.2
Assists
23.0 / 26.1
26.0 / 13.0
Blocks
7.5 / 5.6
9.0 / 5.0
Field Goal %
46.1 / 44.8
44.6 / 44.0
Free Throw %
79.7 / 80.0
100.0 / 81.5
Rebounding
41.1 / 52.3
42.0 / 41.0
Steals
7.3 / 7.6
11.0 / 13.0
Turnovers
15.5 / 11.3
20.0 / 19.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
BOS
Advantage
59-30-0
(66.3%)
Margin: 7.3
ATS +/-: +2.2
ORL
49-42-0
(53.8%)
Margin: 0.4
ATS +/-: -1.2
🎯 ATS (Spread)
BOS
Advantage
51-38-0
(57.3%)
Margin: 7.3
ATS +/-: +2.2
ORL
43-48-0
(47.3%)
Margin: 0.4
ATS +/-: -1.2
⚖️ Over/Under
BOS
32-57-0
O: 36.0% / U: 64.0%
Total +/-: -3.2
ORL
47-44-0
O: 51.7% / U: 48.4%
Total +/-: +0.7
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
ORL
BOS
ORL
BOS
ML
61%
65-42
57%
61-46
56%
51-40
53%
47-41
ATS
64%
68-38-1
59%
61-43-3
56%
51-40
53%
47-41
TTL
57%
61-46
56%
60-47
100%
91-0
100%
88-0
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