MILWAUKEE
BUCKSMIL
15-12 | Road
112
CHICAGO
BULLSCHI
13-16 | Home
91
AI Model Win Probability
BUCKS
0%
BULLS
100%
BUCKS
--
BULLS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
214.2
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-4.1
MILWAUKEE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +4.1 points (Milwaukee)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around MIL -4.1 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (MIL)
MIL By 1-7 points
27.4%
MIL By 8-14 points
21.7%
CHI By 1-7 points
20.0%
CHI By 8-14 points
9.2%
AI Model Projected Score
Milwaukee
109.11
MILWAUKEE
Chicago
105.05
CHICAGO
Simulated Score
Milwaukee
114
MILWAUKEE
Chicago
110
CHICAGO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Bucks
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Bucks
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Bucks (-0)
Win
Proj Spread: -4.1
D
Sim
Bucks (-0)
Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 214.2
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 224.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 1, 2026
MIL @ CHI
97 - 120
Feb 3, 2026
CHI @ MIL
115 - 131
Dec 27, 2025
MIL @ CHI
112 - 103
Nov 7, 2025
CHI @ MIL
110 - 126
Oct 12, 2025
MIL @ CHI
127 - 121
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+25.1% more
Milwaukee: 10.2
vs
Chicago: 7.6
Turnovers (L5)
+16.3% more
Milwaukee: 15.8
vs
Chicago: 13.3
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+4.6%
Milwaukee: 39.7%
vs
Chicago: 35.1%
Field Goal % (L5)
+3.5%
Milwaukee: 46.3%
vs
Chicago: 42.8%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
MIL Score
109.1
112
CHI Score
105.1
91
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
35.1 / 39.7
20.8 / 41.9
Assists
28.2 / 28.1
27.0 / 24.0
Blocks
4.9 / 4.0
1.0 / 1.0
Field Goal %
42.8 / 46.3
40.0 / 46.0
Free Throw %
86.4 / 71.8
75.0 / 82.4
Rebounding
46.1 / 44.7
46.0 / 49.0
Steals
7.6 / 10.2
9.0 / 7.0
Turnovers
13.3 / 15.8
15.0 / 13.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
MIL
Advantage
32-50-0
(39.0%)
Margin: -6.2
ATS +/-: -3.0
CHI
31-51-0
(37.8%)
Margin: -5.2
ATS +/-: -1.9
🎯 ATS (Spread)
MIL
36-46-0
(43.9%)
Margin: -6.2
ATS +/-: -3.0
CHI
Advantage
39-43-0
(47.6%)
Margin: -5.2
ATS +/-: -1.9
⚖️ Over/Under
MIL
39-43-0
O: 47.6% / U: 52.4%
Total +/-: +1.4
CHI
38-44-0
O: 46.3% / U: 53.7%
Total +/-: +0.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CHI
MIL
CHI
MIL
ML
56%
54-42
64%
61-35
57%
46-35
60%
49-32
ATS
65%
62-33-1
68%
65-31
57%
46-35
60%
49-32
TTL
58%
56-40
55%
53-43
100%
81-0
100%
81-0
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