LA
CLIPPERSLAC
16-13 | Road
114
MEMPHIS
GRIZZLIESMEM
20-9 | Home
110
AI Model Win Probability
CLIPPERS
100%
GRIZZLIES
0%
CLIPPERS
--
GRIZZLIES
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
246.5
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.1
MEMPHIS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.1 points (Memphis)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around MEM -1.1 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (MEM)
LAC By 1-7 points
24.1%
LAC By 8-14 points
13.5%
MEM By 1-7 points
26.3%
MEM By 8-14 points
17.1%
AI Model Projected Score
LA
122.68
LA
Memphis
123.81
MEMPHIS
Simulated Score
LA
107
LA
Memphis
112
MEMPHIS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Grizzlies
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Grizzlies
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Grizzlies (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -1.1
D
Sim
Grizzlies (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 246.5
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 219.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 7, 2026
LAC @ MEM
123 - 120
Dec 15, 2025
MEM @ LAC
121 - 103
Dec 5, 2025
LAC @ MEM
98 - 107
Nov 28, 2025
MEM @ LAC
112 - 107
Mar 21, 2025
MEM @ LAC
108 - 128
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5)
+41.0% more
Memphis: 33.1
vs
LA: 23.5
Rebounding (L5)
+18.6% more
Memphis: 48.2
vs
LA: 40.7
Steals (L5)
+10.6% more
Memphis: 11.4
vs
LA: 10.3
Turnovers (L5)
+9.0% more
Memphis: 17.5
vs
LA: 16.1
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
LAC Score
122.7
114
MEM Score
123.8
110
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
44.2 / 36.8
38.1 / 33.3
Assists
33.1 / 23.5
26.0 / 22.0
Blocks
4.2 / 4.8
6.0 / 6.0
Field Goal %
50.1 / 47.6
38.4 / 43.8
Free Throw %
76.8 / 82.9
69.2 / 80.8
Rebounding
48.2 / 40.7
56.0 / 53.0
Steals
11.4 / 10.3
8.0 / 15.0
Turnovers
17.5 / 16.1
20.0 / 17.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
LAC
Advantage
42-41-0
(50.6%)
Margin: 1.1
ATS +/-: -0.4
MEM
25-57-0
(30.5%)
Margin: -6.0
ATS +/-: -0.6
🎯 ATS (Spread)
LAC
Advantage
42-41-0
(50.6%)
Margin: 1.1
ATS +/-: -0.4
MEM
37-45-0
(45.1%)
Margin: -6.0
ATS +/-: -0.6
⚖️ Over/Under
LAC
41-42-0
O: 49.4% / U: 50.6%
Total +/-: +2.2
MEM
43-39-0
O: 52.4% / U: 47.6%
Total +/-: +1.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
MEM
LAC
MEM
LAC
ML
57%
59-44
60%
59-40
50%
41-41
55%
45-37
ATS
63%
65-38
66%
65-33-1
50%
41-41
55%
45-37
TTL
70%
71-31-1
59%
58-40-1
100%
82-0
100%
82-0
Contextual Game News
Cooper Flagg and Mavericks Face Media at NBA China Games in Macao
Matt Barnes: Clippers Are Cursed, Urges Steve Ballmer to Rebrand
ATLAS League Launches to Crown World Champion in High School Bas…
Kyrie Irving Set for Mavericks Return in China After 19-Month AC…
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Declares Himself NBA's Best Player, Shru…