CAROLINA
HURRICANESCAR
20-11-1 | Road
3
NEW YORK
RANGERSNYR
16-15-1 | Home
1
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Pyotr Kochetkov
#52 | Goaltender@
GOALTENDER
Igor Shesterkin
#31 | Goaltender| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pyotr Kochetkov | None-None | 1.00 | 0.957 | -- |
| Igor Shesterkin | None-None | 2.08 | 0.938 | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
1.00 Ldr
GAA
2.08
0.957 Ldr
Save %
0.938
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
HURRICANES
0%
RANGERS
100%
HURRICANES
--
RANGERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
4.4
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.3
CAROLINA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.3 points (Carolina)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-6-4-20+2+4+6
Distribution centered around CAR -0.3 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CAR)
CAR By 1 goal
18.7%
CAR By 2-3 goals
22.2%
NYR By 1 goal
15.9%
NYR By 2-3 goals
15.3%
AI Model Projected Score
Carolina
2.38
CAROLINA
New York
2.06
NEW YORK
Simulated Score
Carolina
3
CAROLINA
New York
4
NEW YORK
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Hurricanes
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Rangers
Loss
50% Win Prob
B
Puck Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Hurricanes (-0)
Win
Proj Goals: -0.3
D
Sim
Rangers (+0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -1.0
B
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 4.4
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 7.0
B
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 5, 2026
CAR @ NYR
2 - 0
Dec 29, 2025
NYR @ CAR
2 - 3
Nov 26, 2025
NYR @ CAR
4 - 2
Nov 4, 2025
CAR @ NYR
3 - 0
Apr 12, 2025
NYR @ CAR
3 - 7
Key Model Drivers
Takeaways (L5)
+43.6% more
Carolina: 8.0
vs
New York: 4.5
Power Play % (L5)
+14.3%
Carolina: 18.2%
vs
New York: 3.9%
Hits (L5)
+91.9% more
New York: 32.1
vs
Carolina: 16.7
Faceoff % (L5)
+4.3%
New York: 56.8%
vs
Carolina: 52.4%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
CAR Score
2.4
3
NYR Score
2.1
1
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
13.3 / 12.6
13.0 / 14.0
Faceoff %
56.8 / 52.4
48.1 / 51.9
Hits
32.1 / 16.7
33.0 / 26.0
Power Play %
3.9 / 18.2
0.0 / 20.0
Shots on Goal
28.9 / 27.8
23.0 / 33.0
Takeaways
4.5 / 8.0
2.0 / 4.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
NYR
CAR
NYR
CAR
ML
80%
4-1
75%
3-1
40%
2-3
25%
1-3
ATS
80%
4-1
50%
2-2
60%
3-2
100%
4-0
TTL
60%
3-2
0%
0-4
60%
3-2
25%
1-3
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