PHILADELPHIA
76ERSPHI
9-16 | Road
99
CLEVELAND
CAVALIERSCLE
24-4 | Home
126
AI Model Win Probability
76ERS
100%
CAVALIERS
0%
76ERS
--
CAVALIERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
231.5
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-3.4
CLEVELAND
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +3.4 points (Cleveland)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around CLE -3.4 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CLE)
PHI By 1-7 points
21.0%
PHI By 8-14 points
10.0%
CLE By 1-7 points
27.3%
CLE By 8-14 points
20.8%
AI Model Projected Score
Philadelphia
114.04
PHILADELPHIA
Cleveland
117.49
CLEVELAND
Simulated Score
Philadelphia
108
PHILADELPHIA
Cleveland
100
CLEVELAND
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Cavaliers
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
76ers
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Cavaliers (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -3.4
D
Sim
76ers (-0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -8.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 231.5
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 208.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 9, 2026
PHI @ CLE
101 - 115
Jan 16, 2026
CLE @ PHI
117 - 115
Jan 14, 2026
CLE @ PHI
133 - 107
Nov 5, 2025
PHI @ CLE
121 - 132
Jan 24, 2025
CLE @ PHI
129 - 132
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5)
+21.1% more
Cleveland: 29.4
vs
Philadelphia: 24.3
Free Throw % (L5)
+4.9%
Cleveland: 81.7%
vs
Philadelphia: 76.8%
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+3.2%
Cleveland: 39.5%
vs
Philadelphia: 36.4%
Blocks (L5)
+31.6% more
Philadelphia: 4.5
vs
Cleveland: 3.1
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
PHI Score
114.0
99
CLE Score
117.5
126
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
39.5 / 36.4
51.2 / 32.4
Assists
29.4 / 24.3
31.0 / 13.0
Blocks
3.1 / 4.5
1.0 / 3.0
Field Goal %
48.9 / 48.2
53.3 / 40.0
Free Throw %
81.7 / 76.8
53.3 / 74.1
Rebounding
45.4 / 42.2
49.0 / 41.0
Steals
10.3 / 11.3
8.0 / 7.0
Turnovers
15.0 / 16.2
13.0 / 13.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
PHI
50-44-0
(53.2%)
Margin: -1.2
ATS +/-: -0.8
CLE
Advantage
60-40-0
(60.0%)
Margin: 2.8
ATS +/-: -2.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
PHI
Advantage
50-44-0
(53.2%)
Margin: -1.2
ATS +/-: -0.8
CLE
40-60-0
(40.0%)
Margin: 2.8
ATS +/-: -2.4
⚖️ Over/Under
PHI
44-50-0
O: 46.8% / U: 53.2%
Total +/-: +1.4
CLE
52-48-0
O: 52.0% / U: 48.0%
Total +/-: +0.9
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CLE
PHI
CLE
PHI
ML
60%
69-46
63%
69-40
56%
55-44
48%
45-48
ATS
67%
75-37-3
65%
71-38
56%
55-44
48%
45-48
TTL
59%
68-47
55%
60-49
100%
99-0
100%
93-0
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