BOSTON
CELTICSBOS
21-6 | Road
123
CHICAGO
BULLSCHI
13-15 | Home
98
AI Model Win Probability
CELTICS
0%
BULLS
100%
CELTICS
--
BULLS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
232.1
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-9.2
BOSTON
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +9.2 points (Boston)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around BOS -9.2 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (BOS)
BOS By 1-7 points
24.0%
BOS By 8-14 points
27.0%
CHI By 1-7 points
11.8%
CHI By 8-14 points
3.8%
AI Model Projected Score
Boston
120.64
BOSTON
Chicago
111.41
CHICAGO
Simulated Score
Boston
109
BOSTON
Chicago
102
CHICAGO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Celtics
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Celtics
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Celtics (-0)
Win
Proj Spread: -9.2
D
Sim
Celtics (-0)
Win
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 232.1
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 211.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 11, 2026
CHI @ BOS
105 - 124
Jan 24, 2026
BOS @ CHI
111 - 114
Jan 5, 2026
CHI @ BOS
101 - 115
Jan 29, 2025
CHI @ BOS
100 - 122
Dec 21, 2024
BOS @ CHI
123 - 98
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+15.2% more
Boston: 6.4
vs
Chicago: 5.4
Turnovers (L5)
+22.8% more
Chicago: 13.4
vs
Boston: 10.9
Assists (L5)
+10.5% more
Chicago: 28.3
vs
Boston: 25.6
Free Throw % (L5)
+7.1%
Chicago: 84.2%
vs
Boston: 77.1%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
BOS Score
120.6
123
CHI Score
111.4
98
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
35.6 / 33.3
34.1 / 33.3
Assists
28.3 / 25.6
28.0 / 27.0
Blocks
5.4 / 6.4
4.0 / 4.0
Field Goal %
45.3 / 43.2
37.8 / 48.0
Free Throw %
84.2 / 77.1
90.9 / 85.7
Rebounding
47.6 / 48.9
43.0 / 59.0
Steals
7.4 / 7.4
8.0 / 8.0
Turnovers
13.4 / 10.9
13.0 / 12.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
BOS
Advantage
59-30-0
(66.3%)
Margin: 7.3
ATS +/-: +2.2
CHI
31-51-0
(37.8%)
Margin: -5.2
ATS +/-: -1.9
🎯 ATS (Spread)
BOS
Advantage
51-38-0
(57.3%)
Margin: 7.3
ATS +/-: +2.2
CHI
39-43-0
(47.6%)
Margin: -5.2
ATS +/-: -1.9
⚖️ Over/Under
BOS
32-57-0
O: 36.0% / U: 64.0%
Total +/-: -3.2
CHI
38-44-0
O: 46.3% / U: 53.7%
Total +/-: +0.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CHI
BOS
CHI
BOS
ML
56%
54-42
57%
61-46
57%
46-35
53%
47-41
ATS
65%
62-33-1
59%
61-43-3
57%
46-35
53%
47-41
TTL
58%
56-40
56%
60-47
100%
81-0
100%
88-0
Contextual Game News
Cooper Flagg and Mavericks Face Media at NBA China Games in Macao
Matt Barnes: Clippers Are Cursed, Urges Steve Ballmer to Rebrand
Kyrie Irving Set for Mavericks Return in China After 19-Month AC…
Luka Doncic Embraces Lakers Legacy: 'It's an Honor, Not Pressure…
Boston Celtics' Young Wings Face Huge Opportunity After Jaylen B…