LA
CLIPPERSLAC
16-12 | Road
97
DALLAS
MAVERICKSDAL
17-10 | Home
113
AI Model Win Probability
CLIPPERS
100%
MAVERICKS
0%
CLIPPERS
--
MAVERICKS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
232.1
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-3.0
DALLAS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +3.0 points (Dallas)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around DAL -3.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (DAL)
LAC By 1-7 points
21.6%
LAC By 8-14 points
10.7%
DAL By 1-7 points
27.2%
DAL By 8-14 points
20.1%
AI Model Projected Score
LA
114.57
LA
Dallas
117.58
DALLAS
Simulated Score
LA
110
LA
Dallas
115
DALLAS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Mavericks
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Mavericks
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Mavericks (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -3.0
D
Sim
Mavericks (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 232.1
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 225.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Apr 7, 2026
DAL @ LAC
103 - 116
Mar 21, 2026
LAC @ DAL
138 - 131
Nov 29, 2025
DAL @ LAC
114 - 110
Nov 14, 2025
LAC @ DAL
133 - 127
Apr 5, 2025
DAL @ LAC
104 - 135
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+43.7% more
Dallas: 5.4
vs
LA: 3.7
Rebounding (L5)
+10.2% more
Dallas: 45.2
vs
LA: 41.0
Steals (L5)
+21.7% more
LA: 11.5
vs
Dallas: 9.0
Free Throw % (L5)
+7.9%
LA: 81.1%
vs
Dallas: 73.2%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
LAC Score
114.6
97
DAL Score
117.6
113
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
38.2 / 41.7
40.0 / 27.0
Assists
26.2 / 26.2
25.0 / 18.0
Blocks
5.4 / 3.7
5.0 / 7.0
Field Goal %
48.3 / 50.4
45.5 / 42.0
Free Throw %
73.2 / 81.1
86.4 / 86.4
Rebounding
45.2 / 41.0
43.0 / 40.0
Steals
9.0 / 11.5
12.0 / 8.0
Turnovers
15.9 / 15.6
13.0 / 17.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
LAC
Advantage
42-41-0
(50.6%)
Margin: 1.1
ATS +/-: -0.4
DAL
26-56-0
(31.7%)
Margin: -5.5
ATS +/-: -0.8
🎯 ATS (Spread)
LAC
Advantage
42-41-0
(50.6%)
Margin: 1.1
ATS +/-: -0.4
DAL
36-46-0
(43.9%)
Margin: -5.5
ATS +/-: -0.8
⚖️ Over/Under
LAC
41-42-0
O: 49.4% / U: 50.6%
Total +/-: +2.2
DAL
37-45-0
O: 45.1% / U: 54.9%
Total +/-: +1.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
DAL
LAC
DAL
LAC
ML
62%
63-39
60%
59-40
54%
44-37
55%
45-37
ATS
67%
68-34
66%
65-33-1
54%
44-37
55%
45-37
TTL
59%
60-41-1
59%
58-40-1
100%
81-0
100%
82-0
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