OTTAWA
SENATORSOTT
17-13-2 | Road
5
VANCOUVER
CANUCKSVAN
16-10-6 | Home
4
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Jake Sanderson
#85 | Defense@
GOALTENDER
Kevin Lankinen
#32 | Goaltender| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jake Sanderson | None-None | -- | -- | -- |
| Kevin Lankinen | None-None | 4.98 | 0.773 | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
--
GAA
4.98
--
Save %
0.773
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
SENATORS
100%
CANUCKS
0%
SENATORS
--
CANUCKS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
4.8
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.8
VANCOUVER
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.8 points (Vancouver)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around VAN -0.8 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (VAN)
OTT By 1 goal
13.4%
OTT By 2-3 goals
11.1%
VAN By 1 goal
19.6%
VAN By 2-3 goals
27.3%
AI Model Projected Score
Ottawa
2.02
OTTAWA
Vancouver
2.8
VANCOUVER
Simulated Score
Ottawa
3
OTTAWA
Vancouver
2
VANCOUVER
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Canucks
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Senators
Win
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Canucks (+0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -0.8
D
Sim
Senators (-0)
Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 4.8
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 5.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 9, 2026
OTT @ VAN
2 - 0
Jan 13, 2026
VAN @ OTT
1 - 2
Dec 21, 2024
OTT @ VAN
5 - 4
Nov 23, 2024
VAN @ OTT
4 - 3
Jan 2, 2024
OTT @ VAN
3 - 6
Key Model Drivers
Power Play % (L5)
+11.3%
Vancouver: 17.7%
vs
Ottawa: 6.4%
Takeaways (L5)
+11.1% more
Vancouver: 5.2
vs
Ottawa: 4.7
Hits (L5)
+10.2% more
Vancouver: 27.1
vs
Ottawa: 24.6
Shots on Goal (L5)
+20.8% more
Ottawa: 28.6
vs
Vancouver: 22.6
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
OTT Score
2.0
5
VAN Score
2.8
4
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
17.2 / 17.6
11.0 / 16.0
Faceoff %
51.9 / 54.0
40.4 / 59.6
Hits
27.1 / 24.6
28.0 / 13.0
Power Play %
1767.0 / 637.0
0.0 / 0.0
Shots on Goal
22.6 / 28.6
25.0 / 22.0
Takeaways
5.2 / 4.7
3.0 / 1.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
VAN
OTT
VAN
OTT
ML
50%
2-2
0%
0-3
25%
1-3
67%
2-1
ATS
25%
1-3
0%
0-3
50%
2-2
67%
2-1
TTL
50%
2-2
67%
2-1
50%
2-2
67%
2-1
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