CHARLOTTE
HORNETSCHA
7-20 | Road
98
PHILADELPHIA
76ERSPHI
8-16 | Home
108
AI Model Win Probability
HORNETS
100%
76ERS
0%
HORNETS
--
76ERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
209.8
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-4.9
PHILADELPHIA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +4.9 points (Philadelphia)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around PHI -4.9 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (PHI)
CHA By 1-7 points
18.7%
CHA By 8-14 points
8.1%
PHI By 1-7 points
27.3%
PHI By 8-14 points
22.9%
AI Model Projected Score
Charlotte
102.43
CHARLOTTE
Philadelphia
107.33
PHILADELPHIA
Simulated Score
Charlotte
112
CHARLOTTE
Philadelphia
108
PHILADELPHIA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
76ers
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Hornets
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
76ers (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -4.9
D
Sim
Hornets (-0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 209.8
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 220.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 28, 2026
PHI @ CHA
118 - 114
Jan 26, 2026
PHI @ CHA
93 - 130
Oct 25, 2025
CHA @ PHI
121 - 125
Dec 20, 2024
CHA @ PHI
98 - 108
Dec 16, 2024
PHI @ CHA
121 - 108
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5)
+13.3% more
Philadelphia: 16.8
vs
Charlotte: 14.8
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+9.1%
Philadelphia: 36.4%
vs
Charlotte: 27.3%
Free Throw % (L5)
+4.5%
Philadelphia: 76.3%
vs
Charlotte: 71.9%
Field Goal % (L5)
+4.1%
Philadelphia: 47.6%
vs
Charlotte: 43.6%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
CHA Score
102.4
98
PHI Score
107.3
108
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
36.4 / 27.3
36.4 / 32.3
Assists
21.4 / 26.8
30.0 / 22.0
Blocks
3.7 / 4.4
6.0 / 4.0
Field Goal %
47.6 / 43.6
49.4 / 46.2
Free Throw %
76.3 / 71.9
77.8 / 76.2
Rebounding
43.8 / 46.4
39.0 / 44.0
Steals
9.9 / 10.0
14.0 / 7.0
Turnovers
16.8 / 14.8
15.0 / 17.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CHA
Advantage
45-39-0
(53.6%)
Margin: 4.4
ATS +/-: +4.4
PHI
50-44-0
(53.2%)
Margin: -1.2
ATS +/-: -0.8
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CHA
Advantage
50-34-0
(59.5%)
Margin: 4.4
ATS +/-: +4.4
PHI
50-44-0
(53.2%)
Margin: -1.2
ATS +/-: -0.8
⚖️ Over/Under
CHA
32-52-0
O: 38.1% / U: 61.9%
Total +/-: -3.4
PHI
44-50-0
O: 46.8% / U: 53.2%
Total +/-: +1.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
PHI
CHA
PHI
CHA
ML
63%
69-40
61%
60-39
48%
45-48
48%
40-44
ATS
65%
71-38
60%
59-40
48%
45-48
48%
40-44
TTL
55%
60-49
58%
57-42
100%
93-0
100%
84-0
Contextual Game News
Tyler Kolek's Girlfriend Spills: Knicks Parade Police Mix-Up Hap…
Matt Barnes: Clippers Are Cursed, Urges Steve Ballmer to Rebrand
ATLAS League Launches to Crown World Champion in High School Bas…
Bill Self's Revamped Kansas Roster Built for Another National Ti…
Boston Celtics' Young Wings Face Huge Opportunity After Jaylen B…