CAROLINA
HURRICANESCAR
20-10-1 | Road
1
WASHINGTON
CAPITALSWSH
21-8-2 | Home
3
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Pyotr Kochetkov
#52 | Goaltender@
GOALTENDER
Charlie Lindgren
#79 | Goaltender| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pyotr Kochetkov | None-None | 3.17 | 0.864 | -- |
| Charlie Lindgren | None-None | 1.00 | 0.960 | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
3.17
GAA
Ldr 1.00
0.864
Save %
Ldr 0.960
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
HURRICANES
0%
CAPITALS
100%
HURRICANES
--
CAPITALS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
6.1
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.2
CAROLINA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.2 points (Carolina)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-6-4-20+2+4+6
Distribution centered around CAR -0.2 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CAR)
CAR By 1 goal
18.1%
CAR By 2-3 goals
20.5%
WSH By 1 goal
16.7%
WSH By 2-3 goals
16.9%
AI Model Projected Score
Carolina
3.12
CAROLINA
Washington
2.95
WASHINGTON
Simulated Score
Carolina
3
CAROLINA
Washington
2
WASHINGTON
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Hurricanes
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Hurricanes
Loss
50% Win Prob
B
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Hurricanes (-0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -0.2
D
Sim
Hurricanes (-0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -1.0
B
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 6.1
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 5.0
B
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Oct 2, 2026
WSH @ CAR
5 - 2
Jan 31, 2026
CAR @ WSH
3 - 4
Dec 11, 2025
CAR @ WSH
3 - 2
Nov 11, 2025
WSH @ CAR
4 - 1
May 15, 2025
CAR @ WSH
3 - 1
Key Model Drivers
Takeaways (L5)
+57.7% more
Carolina: 8.5
vs
Washington: 3.6
Power Play % (L5)
+12.6%
Carolina: 27.3%
vs
Washington: 14.8%
Blocked Shots (L5)
+22.2% more
Washington: 15.1
vs
Carolina: 12.4
Faceoff % (L5)
+3.2%
Washington: 54.1%
vs
Carolina: 51.0%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
CAR Score
3.1
1
WSH Score
3.0
3
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
15.1 / 12.4
27.0 / 13.0
Faceoff %
54.1 / 51.0
44.6 / 55.4
Hits
17.8 / 19.1
23.0 / 12.0
Power Play %
1477.0 / 2732.0
0.0 / 0.0
Shots on Goal
27.3 / 29.2
22.0 / 25.0
Takeaways
3.6 / 8.5
8.0 / 7.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
WSH
CAR
WSH
CAR
ML
100%
3-0
75%
3-1
67%
2-1
25%
1-3
ATS
100%
3-0
50%
2-2
67%
2-1
100%
4-0
TTL
33%
1-2
0%
0-4
33%
1-2
25%
1-3
Contextual Game News
Panthers Eyeing Vladimir Tarasenko as Insurance for Brad Marchan…
Ovechkin's Sons Steal the Show at Capitals' Home Opener as Washi…
Ovechkin's Sons Steal the Show as Capitals Clip Penguins 5-3 in …
Penguins Embarrassed by Capitals as Turnovers and Disorganizatio…
Canadiens Call Up Jacob Fowler After Samuel Montembeault Injury …