Home / NFL Projections NFL / Cardinals @ Panthers ARI @ CAR

ARIZONA

CARDINALSARI

7-7  |  Road

30
FINAL
Sun, Dec 22 • 1:00 PM ET
Bank of America Stadium
View Odds Details →

CAROLINA

PANTHERSCAR

3-11  |  Home

36
Key Game
Chad Ryland
KEY GAME

Chad Ryland

#38 | Place kicker
@
Cam Gill
KEY GAME

Cam Gill

#49 | Linebacker
Player
Chad Ryland None-None
Cam Gill None-None
None-None W-L None-None
AI Model Win Probability
CARDINALS
79%
📊
PANTHERS
21%
CARDINALS --
PANTHERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
37.7
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 55%
Under 0 45%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-3.1
CAROLINA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +3.1 points (Carolina)
CardinalsARI (-3.5) 0 PanthersCAR (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Cardinals Cover

41.3%

Panthers Cover

58.7%

+42+28+140-14-28-42
Distribution centered around CAR -3.1 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CAR)

ARI By 1-6 points

15.2%

ARI By 7-13 points

12.9%

CAR By 1-6 points

17.0%

CAR By 7-13 points

17.5%

AI Model Projected Score
17.32
ARIZONA
20.4
CAROLINA
Simulated Score
31
ARIZONA
24
CAROLINA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Panthers Win
21% Win Prob
D
Sim Cardinals Loss
50% Win Prob
C
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Panthers (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -3.1
D
Sim Cardinals (-0) Loss
Proj Spread: -7.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 37.7
D
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 55.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Sep 14, 2025 CAR @ ARI 22 - 27
Dec 22, 2024 ARI @ CAR 30 - 36
Oct 2, 2022 ARI @ CAR 26 - 16
Nov 14, 2021 CAR @ ARI 34 - 10
Oct 4, 2020 ARI @ CAR 21 - 31
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5) +96.0% more
Carolina: 2.0 vs Arizona: 1.0
Rushing Yards (L5) +34.9% more
Arizona: 139.2 vs Carolina: 90.6
Total Yards (L5) +22.9% more
Arizona: 373.1 vs Carolina: 287.9
Yards Per Play (L5) +16.9% more
Arizona: 5.9 vs Carolina: 4.9
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
ARI Score 17.3 30
CAR Score 20.4 36
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
First Downs 17.7 / 21.3 22.0 / 23.0
Net Passing Yards 197.3 / 233.9 149.0 / 176.0
Rushing Yards 90.6 / 139.2 243.0 / 206.0
Third Down Efficiency 0.4 / 0.5 0.43 / 0.46
Time of Possession 0.5 / 0.5 0.5 / 0.5
Total Yards 287.9 / 373.1 392.0 / 382.0
Turnovers 2.0 / 1.0 0.0 / 2.0
Yards Per Play 4.9 / 5.9 6.0 / 6.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
88%TICKETS12%
97%MONEY3%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
71%TICKETS29%
73%MONEY27%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
59%TICKETS41%
48%MONEY52%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
ARI
1-3-0 (25.0%)
Margin: -7.5 ATS +/-: -2.8
CAR Advantage
2-2-0 (50.0%)
Margin: 3.0 ATS +/-: +3.6
🎯 ATS (Spread)
ARI
2-2-0 (50.0%)
Margin: -7.5 ATS +/-: -2.8
CAR
2-2-0 (50.0%)
Margin: 3.0 ATS +/-: +3.6
⚖️ Over/Under
ARI
2-2-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0% Total +/-: +5.8
CAR
2-2-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0% Total +/-: +11.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CAR
ARI
CAR
ARI
ML
25% 1-3
75% 3-1
50% 2-2
25% 1-3
ATS
75% 3-1
75% 3-1
75% 3-1
50% 2-2
TTL
75% 3-1
50% 2-2
25% 1-3
50% 2-2
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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