BROOKLYN
NETSBKN
10-16 | Road
101
TORONTO
RAPTORSTOR
7-20 | Home
94
AI Model Win Probability
NETS
100%
RAPTORS
0%
NETS
--
RAPTORS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
218.7
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
TORONTO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Toronto)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around TOR -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (TOR)
BKN By 1-7 points
24.2%
BKN By 8-14 points
13.7%
TOR By 1-7 points
26.2%
TOR By 8-14 points
17.0%
AI Model Projected Score
Brooklyn
108.83
BROOKLYN
Toronto
109.86
TORONTO
Simulated Score
Brooklyn
113
BROOKLYN
Toronto
109
TORONTO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Raptors
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Nets
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Raptors (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -1.0
D
Sim
Nets (-0)
Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 218.7
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 222.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Apr 12, 2026
BKN @ TOR
101 - 136
Dec 21, 2025
TOR @ BKN
81 - 96
Nov 23, 2025
BKN @ TOR
109 - 119
Nov 11, 2025
TOR @ BKN
119 - 109
Apr 6, 2025
TOR @ BKN
120 - 109
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+24.0% more
Toronto: 5.0
vs
Brooklyn: 4.0
Rebounding (L5)
+21.9% more
Toronto: 44.8
vs
Brooklyn: 36.8
Assists (L5)
+10.6% more
Toronto: 28.3
vs
Brooklyn: 25.6
Field Goal % (L5)
+2.0%
Toronto: 46.5%
vs
Brooklyn: 44.5%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
BKN Score
108.8
101
TOR Score
109.9
94
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
34.9 / 39.4
34.1 / 23.1
Assists
28.3 / 25.6
26.0 / 18.0
Blocks
5.0 / 4.0
4.0 / 6.0
Field Goal %
46.5 / 44.5
39.5 / 40.2
Free Throw %
77.1 / 81.0
78.6 / 83.9
Rebounding
44.8 / 36.8
34.0 / 53.0
Steals
7.3 / 9.7
6.0 / 3.0
Turnovers
15.5 / 17.9
12.0 / 17.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
BKN
20-62-0
(24.4%)
Margin: -10.0
ATS +/-: -1.3
TOR
Advantage
49-40-0
(55.1%)
Margin: 2.5
ATS +/-: +1.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
BKN
38-43-1
(46.9%)
Margin: -10.0
ATS +/-: -1.3
TOR
Advantage
46-43-0
(51.7%)
Margin: 2.5
ATS +/-: +1.4
⚖️ Over/Under
BKN
37-45-0
O: 45.1% / U: 54.9%
Total +/-: -0.7
TOR
37-52-0
O: 41.6% / U: 58.4%
Total +/-: -1.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
TOR
BKN
TOR
BKN
ML
55%
57-47
53%
50-45
55%
48-39
59%
48-34
ATS
61%
62-40-2
52%
48-44-3
55%
48-39
59%
48-34
TTL
60%
62-42
57%
54-41
100%
87-0
100%
82-0
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