CHICAGO
BULLSCHI
12-15 | Road
117
BOSTON
CELTICSBOS
21-5 | Home
108
AI Model Win Probability
BULLS
100%
CELTICS
0%
BULLS
--
CELTICS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
243.9
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-9.0
BOSTON
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +9.0 points (Boston)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around BOS -9.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (BOS)
CHI By 1-7 points
12.2%
CHI By 8-14 points
4.0%
BOS By 1-7 points
24.3%
BOS By 8-14 points
26.8%
AI Model Projected Score
Chicago
117.45
CHICAGO
Boston
126.42
BOSTON
Simulated Score
Chicago
107
CHICAGO
Boston
118
BOSTON
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Celtics
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Celtics
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Celtics (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -9.0
D
Sim
Celtics (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -11.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 243.9
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 225.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 11, 2026
CHI @ BOS
105 - 124
Jan 24, 2026
BOS @ CHI
111 - 114
Jan 5, 2026
CHI @ BOS
101 - 115
Jan 29, 2025
CHI @ BOS
100 - 122
Dec 21, 2024
BOS @ CHI
123 - 98
Key Model Drivers
Rebounding (L5)
+17.0% more
Boston: 50.8
vs
Chicago: 43.5
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+2.3%
Boston: 37.4%
vs
Chicago: 35.1%
Blocks (L5)
+21.7% more
Chicago: 7.1
vs
Boston: 5.6
Steals (L5)
+20.6% more
Chicago: 10.2
vs
Boston: 8.1
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
CHI Score
117.5
117
BOS Score
126.4
108
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
37.4 / 35.1
25.0 / 36.5
Assists
27.9 / 30.9
21.0 / 23.0
Blocks
5.6 / 7.1
8.0 / 2.0
Field Goal %
45.2 / 45.6
39.2 / 44.7
Free Throw %
72.8 / 82.6
85.7 / 87.5
Rebounding
50.8 / 43.5
45.0 / 56.0
Steals
8.1 / 10.2
6.0 / 2.0
Turnovers
14.3 / 14.1
4.0 / 12.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CHI
31-51-0
(37.8%)
Margin: -5.2
ATS +/-: -1.9
BOS
Advantage
59-30-0
(66.3%)
Margin: 7.3
ATS +/-: +2.2
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CHI
39-43-0
(47.6%)
Margin: -5.2
ATS +/-: -1.9
BOS
Advantage
51-38-0
(57.3%)
Margin: 7.3
ATS +/-: +2.2
⚖️ Over/Under
CHI
38-44-0
O: 46.3% / U: 53.7%
Total +/-: +0.5
BOS
32-57-0
O: 36.0% / U: 64.0%
Total +/-: -3.2
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
BOS
CHI
BOS
CHI
ML
57%
61-46
56%
54-42
53%
47-41
57%
46-35
ATS
59%
61-43-3
65%
62-33-1
53%
47-41
57%
46-35
TTL
56%
60-47
58%
56-40
100%
88-0
100%
81-0
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