LA
CLIPPERSLAC
15-12 | Road
118
DALLAS
MAVERICKSDAL
17-9 | Home
95
AI Model Win Probability
CLIPPERS
100%
MAVERICKS
0%
CLIPPERS
--
MAVERICKS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
238.8
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-7.7
DALLAS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +7.7 points (Dallas)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around DAL -7.7 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (DAL)
LAC By 1-7 points
14.2%
LAC By 8-14 points
5.1%
DAL By 1-7 points
25.6%
DAL By 8-14 points
26.0%
AI Model Projected Score
LA
115.57
LA
Dallas
123.27
DALLAS
Simulated Score
LA
112
LA
Dallas
107
DALLAS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Mavericks
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Clippers
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Mavericks (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -7.7
D
Sim
Clippers (-0)
Win
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 238.8
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 219.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Apr 7, 2026
DAL @ LAC
103 - 116
Mar 21, 2026
LAC @ DAL
138 - 131
Nov 29, 2025
DAL @ LAC
114 - 110
Nov 14, 2025
LAC @ DAL
133 - 127
Apr 5, 2025
DAL @ LAC
104 - 135
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+35.1% more
Dallas: 5.5
vs
LA: 4.1
Rebounding (L5)
+25.7% more
Dallas: 47.8
vs
LA: 38.0
Assists (L5)
+18.6% more
Dallas: 28.8
vs
LA: 24.3
Turnovers (L5)
+8.7% more
Dallas: 17.3
vs
LA: 15.9
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
LAC Score
115.6
118
DAL Score
123.3
95
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
45.6 / 41.4
23.3 / 42.4
Assists
28.8 / 24.3
21.0 / 30.0
Blocks
5.5 / 4.1
5.0 / 3.0
Field Goal %
52.7 / 49.7
39.5 / 51.8
Free Throw %
74.1 / 74.6
71.4 / 94.1
Rebounding
47.8 / 38.0
40.0 / 47.0
Steals
9.0 / 12.8
9.0 / 9.0
Turnovers
17.3 / 15.9
13.0 / 15.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
LAC
Advantage
42-41-0
(50.6%)
Margin: 1.1
ATS +/-: -0.4
DAL
26-56-0
(31.7%)
Margin: -5.5
ATS +/-: -0.8
🎯 ATS (Spread)
LAC
Advantage
42-41-0
(50.6%)
Margin: 1.1
ATS +/-: -0.4
DAL
36-46-0
(43.9%)
Margin: -5.5
ATS +/-: -0.8
⚖️ Over/Under
LAC
41-42-0
O: 49.4% / U: 50.6%
Total +/-: +2.2
DAL
37-45-0
O: 45.1% / U: 54.9%
Total +/-: +1.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
DAL
LAC
DAL
LAC
ML
62%
63-39
60%
59-40
54%
44-37
55%
45-37
ATS
67%
68-34
66%
65-33-1
54%
44-37
55%
45-37
TTL
59%
60-41-1
59%
58-40-1
100%
81-0
100%
82-0
Contextual Game News
Cooper Flagg and Mavericks Face Media at NBA China Games in Macao
Matt Barnes: Clippers Are Cursed, Urges Steve Ballmer to Rebrand
ATLAS League Launches to Crown World Champion in High School Bas…
Kyrie Irving Set for Mavericks Return in China After 19-Month AC…
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Declares Himself NBA's Best Player, Shru…