PITTSBURGH
PENGUINSPIT
14-14-5 | Road
5
NASHVILLE
PREDATORSNSH
9-17-6 | Home
4
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Tommy Novak
#18 | Center@
GOALTENDER
Juuse Saros
#74 | Goaltender| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tommy Novak | None-None | -- | -- | -- |
| Juuse Saros | None-None | 4.92 | 0.750 | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
--
GAA
4.92
--
Save %
0.750
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
PENGUINS
0%
PREDATORS
100%
PENGUINS
--
PREDATORS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
6.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.6
PITTSBURGH
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.6 points (Pittsburgh)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-6-4-20+2+4+6
Distribution centered around PIT -0.6 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (PIT)
PIT By 1 goal
19.3%
PIT By 2-3 goals
24.8%
NSH By 1 goal
14.7%
NSH By 2-3 goals
13.0%
AI Model Projected Score
Pittsburgh
3.29
PITTSBURGH
Nashville
2.73
NASHVILLE
Simulated Score
Pittsburgh
3
PITTSBURGH
Nashville
2
NASHVILLE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Penguins
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Penguins
Win
50% Win Prob
B
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Penguins (-0)
Win
Proj Goals: -0.6
D
Sim
Penguins (-0)
Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
B
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 6.0
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 5.0
B
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Nov 16, 2025
NSH @ PIT
0 - 4
Nov 14, 2025
PIT @ NSH
1 - 2
Feb 1, 2025
NSH @ PIT
0 - 3
Dec 19, 2024
PIT @ NSH
5 - 4
Apr 15, 2024
NSH @ PIT
2 - 4
Key Model Drivers
Power Play % (L5)
+13.4%
Pittsburgh: 14.3%
vs
Nashville: 1.0%
Faceoff % (L5)
+1.6%
Pittsburgh: 51.3%
vs
Nashville: 49.7%
Blocked Shots (L5)
+33.1% more
Nashville: 19.0
vs
Pittsburgh: 14.3
Hits (L5)
+16.2% more
Nashville: 23.0
vs
Pittsburgh: 19.8
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
PIT Score
3.3
5
NSH Score
2.7
4
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
19.0 / 14.3
11.0 / 16.0
Faceoff %
49.7 / 51.3
46.0 / 54.0
Hits
23.0 / 19.8
24.0 / 15.0
Power Play %
1.0 / 14.3
20.0 / 33.3
Shots on Goal
31.2 / 29.2
26.0 / 20.0
Takeaways
6.5 / 6.1
5.0 / 7.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
NSH
PIT
NSH
PIT
ML
67%
2-1
75%
3-1
33%
1-2
25%
1-3
ATS
0%
0-3
75%
3-1
67%
2-1
75%
3-1
TTL
100%
3-0
25%
1-3
33%
1-2
50%
2-2
Contextual Game News
The Unexpected Cornerback the Steelers Regret Losing
Canadiens Turn to Rookie Jacob Fowler in Net Against Predators; …
Nashville Predators' Early Season: Three Burning Questions After…
Ovechkin's Sons Steal the Show at Capitals' Home Opener as Washi…
Ovechkin's Sons Steal the Show as Capitals Clip Penguins 5-3 in …