FLORIDA
PANTHERSFLA
19-11-2 | Road
6
MINNESOTA
WILDMIN
20-7-4 | Home
1
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Niko Mikkola
#77 | Defense@
GOALTENDER
Marc-Andre Fleury
#29 | G| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Niko Mikkola | None-None | -- | -- | -- |
| Marc-Andre Fleury | None-None | 6.00 | 0.818 | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
--
GAA
6.00
--
Save %
0.818
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
PANTHERS
100%
WILD
0%
PANTHERS
--
WILD
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
6.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.5
MINNESOTA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.5 points (Minnesota)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around MIN -0.5 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (MIN)
FLA By 1 goal
14.8%
FLA By 2-3 goals
13.3%
MIN By 1 goal
19.2%
MIN By 2-3 goals
24.5%
AI Model Projected Score
Florida
2.75
FLORIDA
Minnesota
3.28
MINNESOTA
Simulated Score
Florida
3
FLORIDA
Minnesota
4
MINNESOTA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Wild
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Wild
Loss
50% Win Prob
B
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Wild (+0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -0.5
D
Sim
Wild (+0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -1.0
B
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 6.0
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 7.0
B
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 26, 2026
MIN @ FLA
3 - 2
Jan 24, 2026
FLA @ MIN
4 - 3
Dec 18, 2024
FLA @ MIN
6 - 1
Oct 22, 2024
MIN @ FLA
5 - 1
Jan 19, 2024
MIN @ FLA
6 - 4
Key Model Drivers
Blocked Shots (L5)
+37.4% more
Minnesota: 16.2
vs
Florida: 11.8
Hits (L5)
+42.9% more
Florida: 31.8
vs
Minnesota: 18.1
Takeaways (L5)
+19.6% more
Florida: 5.9
vs
Minnesota: 4.8
Shots on Goal (L5)
+17.4% more
Florida: 31.4
vs
Minnesota: 26.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
FLA Score
2.8
6
MIN Score
3.3
1
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
16.2 / 11.8
9.0 / 11.0
Faceoff %
45.7 / 49.0
46.6 / 53.4
Hits
18.1 / 31.8
25.0 / 42.0
Power Play %
7.2 / 17.6
50.0 / 50.0
Shots on Goal
26.0 / 31.4
27.0 / 33.0
Takeaways
4.8 / 5.9
6.0 / 4.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
MIN
FLA
MIN
FLA
ML
67%
2-1
0%
0-4
33%
1-2
0%
0-4
ATS
33%
1-2
25%
1-3
33%
1-2
50%
2-2
TTL
100%
3-0
25%
1-3
67%
2-1
0%
0-4
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