NEW YORK
ISLANDERSNYI
12-13-0 | Road
0
CAROLINA
HURRICANESCAR
19-10-0 | Home
4
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Ilya Sorokin
#30 | Goaltender@
GOALTENDER
Pyotr Kochetkov
#52 | Goaltender| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ilya Sorokin | None-None | 6.00 | 0.826 | -- |
| Pyotr Kochetkov | None-None | 0.00 | 1.000 | 1 |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
6.00
GAA
Ldr 0.00
0.826
Save %
Ldr 1.000
--
SO
Ldr 1
AI Model Win Probability
ISLANDERS
100%
HURRICANES
0%
ISLANDERS
--
HURRICANES
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
6.2
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.6
CAROLINA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.6 points (Carolina)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around CAR -0.6 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CAR)
NYI By 1 goal
14.6%
NYI By 2-3 goals
12.9%
CAR By 1 goal
19.3%
CAR By 2-3 goals
25.0%
AI Model Projected Score
New York
2.8
NEW YORK
Carolina
3.37
CAROLINA
Simulated Score
New York
2
NEW YORK
Carolina
4
CAROLINA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Hurricanes
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Hurricanes
Win
50% Win Prob
B
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Hurricanes (+0)
Win
Proj Goals: -0.6
D
Sim
Hurricanes (+0)
Win
Proj Goals: -2.0
B
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 6.2
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 6.0
B
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Apr 14, 2026
CAR @ NYI
2 - 1
Apr 4, 2026
NYI @ CAR
3 - 4
Oct 30, 2025
NYI @ CAR
2 - 6
Mar 30, 2025
NYI @ CAR
4 - 6
Jan 25, 2025
CAR @ NYI
2 - 3
Key Model Drivers
Takeaways (L5)
+63.3% more
Carolina: 6.7
vs
New York: 4.1
Shots on Goal (L5)
+16.3% more
Carolina: 29.2
vs
New York: 25.1
Power Play % (L5)
+5.3%
Carolina: 16.0%
vs
New York: 10.7%
Blocked Shots (L5)
+25.6% more
New York: 14.9
vs
Carolina: 11.1
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
NYI Score
2.8
0
CAR Score
3.4
4
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
11.1 / 14.9
15.0 / 16.0
Faceoff %
53.3 / 55.8
46.2 / 53.8
Hits
22.1 / 23.9
13.0 / 18.0
Power Play %
16.0 / 10.7
50.0 / 0.0
Shots on Goal
29.2 / 25.1
29.0 / 32.0
Takeaways
6.7 / 4.1
12.0 / 10.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CAR
NYI
CAR
NYI
ML
75%
3-1
67%
2-1
25%
1-3
67%
2-1
ATS
50%
2-2
33%
1-2
100%
4-0
33%
1-2
TTL
0%
0-4
100%
2-0-1
25%
1-3
100%
2-0-1
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