BOSTON
BRUINSBOS
16-13-0 | Road
4
CALGARY
FLAMESCGY
15-11-0 | Home
3
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Jeremy Swayman
#1 | Goaltender@
GOALTENDER
Dustin Wolf
#32 | Goaltender| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jeremy Swayman | None-None | 2.80 | 0.870 | -- |
| Dustin Wolf | None-None | 3.73 | 0.886 | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
2.80 Ldr
GAA
3.73
0.870
Save %
Ldr 0.886
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
BRUINS
100%
FLAMES
0%
BRUINS
--
FLAMES
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
5.5
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.4
CALGARY
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.4 points (Calgary)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around CGY -0.4 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CGY)
BOS By 1 goal
15.5%
BOS By 2-3 goals
14.4%
CGY By 1 goal
18.9%
CGY By 2-3 goals
23.2%
AI Model Projected Score
Boston
2.56
BOSTON
Calgary
2.97
CALGARY
Simulated Score
Boston
3
BOSTON
Calgary
2
CALGARY
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Flames
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Bruins
Win
50% Win Prob
B
Puck Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Flames (+0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -0.4
D
Sim
Bruins (-0)
Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
B
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 5.5
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 5.0
B
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jan 8, 2026
CGY @ BOS
1 - 4
Dec 29, 2025
BOS @ CGY
1 - 2
Dec 17, 2024
BOS @ CGY
4 - 3
Nov 7, 2024
CGY @ BOS
3 - 4
Feb 22, 2024
BOS @ CGY
2 - 3
Key Model Drivers
Takeaways (L5)
+38.4% more
Calgary: 7.4
vs
Boston: 5.4
Hits (L5)
+32.0% more
Boston: 28.2
vs
Calgary: 19.2
Faceoff % (L5)
+10.6%
Boston: 52.3%
vs
Calgary: 41.6%
Power Play % (L5)
+5.3%
Boston: 19.2%
vs
Calgary: 13.9%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
BOS Score
2.6
4
CGY Score
3.0
3
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
16.8 / 16.3
15.0 / 12.0
Faceoff %
41.6 / 52.3
32.0 / 68.0
Hits
19.2 / 28.2
23.0 / 17.0
Power Play %
1391.0 / 1924.0
0.0 / 0.0
Shots on Goal
27.3 / 29.4
23.0 / 35.0
Takeaways
7.4 / 5.4
5.0 / 9.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CGY
BOS
CGY
BOS
ML
33%
1-2
50%
2-2
33%
1-2
50%
2-2
ATS
33%
1-2
50%
2-2
33%
1-2
50%
2-2
TTL
67%
2-1
75%
3-1
0%
0-3
0%
0-4
Contextual Game News
Flames Promote Aydar Suniev and Jonathan Castagna to Fill Roster…
Bruins Look to Fix Special Teams as Senators Come to Town
Kaprizov's Two Goals Propel Wild Past Bruins 4-1
Wild Aim to Stay Perfect at Home Against Bruins; Newcomers Shine…
Peterka's Overtime Heroics Lift Bruins Over Jets in Season Opener