PHILADELPHIA
76ERSPHI
7-16 | Road
121
CHARLOTTE
HORNETSCHA
7-18 | Home
108
AI Model Win Probability
76ERS
0%
HORNETS
100%
76ERS
--
HORNETS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
206.3
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-5.8
PHILADELPHIA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +5.8 points (Philadelphia)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around PHI -5.8 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (PHI)
PHI By 1-7 points
26.9%
PHI By 8-14 points
24.1%
CHA By 1-7 points
17.2%
CHA By 8-14 points
7.0%
AI Model Projected Score
Philadelphia
106.07
PHILADELPHIA
Charlotte
100.22
CHARLOTTE
Simulated Score
Philadelphia
109
PHILADELPHIA
Charlotte
103
CHARLOTTE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
76ers
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
76ers
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
76ers (-0)
Win
Proj Spread: -5.8
D
Sim
76ers (-0)
Win
Proj Spread: -6.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 206.3
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 212.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 28, 2026
PHI @ CHA
118 - 114
Jan 26, 2026
PHI @ CHA
93 - 130
Oct 25, 2025
CHA @ PHI
121 - 125
Dec 20, 2024
CHA @ PHI
98 - 108
Dec 16, 2024
PHI @ CHA
121 - 108
Key Model Drivers
Field Goal % (L5)
+3.6%
Philadelphia: 45.8%
vs
Charlotte: 42.2%
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+1.9%
Philadelphia: 33.5%
vs
Charlotte: 31.6%
Blocks (L5)
+21.8% more
Charlotte: 4.4
vs
Philadelphia: 3.6
Turnovers (L5)
+14.1% more
Charlotte: 17.3
vs
Philadelphia: 15.1
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
PHI Score
106.1
121
CHA Score
100.2
108
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
31.6 / 33.5
31.6 / 42.1
Assists
22.9 / 21.7
30.0 / 21.0
Blocks
4.4 / 3.6
8.0 / 4.0
Field Goal %
42.2 / 45.8
50.6 / 51.2
Free Throw %
77.5 / 76.1
57.1 / 76.7
Rebounding
46.4 / 44.7
38.0 / 42.0
Steals
7.6 / 7.9
12.0 / 14.0
Turnovers
17.3 / 15.1
20.0 / 20.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
PHI
50-44-0
(53.2%)
Margin: -1.2
ATS +/-: -0.8
CHA
Advantage
45-39-0
(53.6%)
Margin: 4.4
ATS +/-: +4.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
PHI
50-44-0
(53.2%)
Margin: -1.2
ATS +/-: -0.8
CHA
Advantage
50-34-0
(59.5%)
Margin: 4.4
ATS +/-: +4.4
⚖️ Over/Under
PHI
44-50-0
O: 46.8% / U: 53.2%
Total +/-: +1.4
CHA
32-52-0
O: 38.1% / U: 61.9%
Total +/-: -3.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CHA
PHI
CHA
PHI
ML
61%
60-39
63%
69-40
48%
40-44
48%
45-48
ATS
60%
59-40
65%
71-38
48%
40-44
48%
45-48
TTL
58%
57-42
55%
60-49
100%
84-0
100%
93-0
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