CLEVELAND
CAVALIERSCLE
22-4 | Road
130
BROOKLYN
NETSBKN
10-15 | Home
101
AI Model Win Probability
CAVALIERS
0%
NETS
100%
CAVALIERS
--
NETS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
229.3
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-4.5
CLEVELAND
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +4.5 points (Cleveland)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around CLE -4.5 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CLE)
CLE By 1-7 points
27.3%
CLE By 8-14 points
22.3%
BKN By 1-7 points
19.3%
BKN By 8-14 points
8.6%
AI Model Projected Score
Cleveland
116.9
CLEVELAND
Brooklyn
112.4
BROOKLYN
Simulated Score
Cleveland
112
CLEVELAND
Brooklyn
117
BROOKLYN
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Cavaliers
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Nets
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Cavaliers (-0)
Win
Proj Spread: -4.5
D
Sim
Nets (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 229.3
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 229.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 1, 2026
CLE @ BKN
106 - 102
Feb 19, 2026
BKN @ CLE
84 - 112
Oct 24, 2025
CLE @ BKN
131 - 124
Mar 11, 2025
BKN @ CLE
104 - 109
Feb 20, 2025
CLE @ BKN
110 - 97
Key Model Drivers
Rebounding (L5)
+16.3% more
Cleveland: 45.0
vs
Brooklyn: 37.7
Turnovers (L5)
+34.6% more
Brooklyn: 15.9
vs
Cleveland: 11.8
Blocks (L5)
+28.7% more
Brooklyn: 5.1
vs
Cleveland: 3.9
Steals (L5)
+13.8% more
Brooklyn: 9.1
vs
Cleveland: 8.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
CLE Score
116.9
130
BKN Score
112.4
101
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
38.5 / 36.8
41.2 / 40.4
Assists
25.9 / 27.2
25.0 / 33.0
Blocks
5.1 / 3.9
2.0 / 6.0
Field Goal %
45.8 / 45.6
42.0 / 53.1
Free Throw %
81.8 / 76.4
79.2 / 86.2
Rebounding
37.7 / 45.0
35.0 / 42.0
Steals
9.1 / 8.0
11.0 / 14.0
Turnovers
15.9 / 11.8
22.0 / 17.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CLE
Advantage
60-40-0
(60.0%)
Margin: 2.8
ATS +/-: -2.4
BKN
20-62-0
(24.4%)
Margin: -10.0
ATS +/-: -1.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CLE
40-60-0
(40.0%)
Margin: 2.8
ATS +/-: -2.4
BKN
Advantage
38-43-1
(46.9%)
Margin: -10.0
ATS +/-: -1.3
⚖️ Over/Under
CLE
52-48-0
O: 52.0% / U: 48.0%
Total +/-: +0.9
BKN
37-45-0
O: 45.1% / U: 54.9%
Total +/-: -0.7
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
BKN
CLE
BKN
CLE
ML
53%
50-45
60%
69-46
59%
48-34
56%
55-44
ATS
52%
48-44-3
67%
75-37-3
59%
48-34
56%
55-44
TTL
57%
54-41
59%
68-47
100%
82-0
100%
99-0
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