CHICAGO
BULLSCHI
11-15 | Road
122
TORONTO
RAPTORSTOR
7-19 | Home
121
AI Model Win Probability
BULLS
100%
RAPTORS
0%
BULLS
--
RAPTORS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
229.7
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.8
TORONTO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.8 points (Toronto)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around TOR -1.8 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (TOR)
CHI By 1-7 points
23.4%
CHI By 8-14 points
12.5%
TOR By 1-7 points
26.7%
TOR By 8-14 points
18.1%
AI Model Projected Score
Chicago
113.98
CHICAGO
Toronto
115.73
TORONTO
Simulated Score
Chicago
114
CHICAGO
Toronto
109
TORONTO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Raptors
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Bulls
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Raptors (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -1.8
D
Sim
Bulls (-0)
Win
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 229.7
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 223.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 18, 2026
TOR @ CHI
139 - 109
Feb 19, 2026
TOR @ CHI
110 - 101
Feb 5, 2026
CHI @ TOR
107 - 123
Apr 1, 2025
TOR @ CHI
118 - 137
Feb 28, 2025
TOR @ CHI
115 - 125
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+32.0% more
Chicago: 6.7
vs
Toronto: 4.5
Steals (L5)
+20.2% more
Chicago: 9.2
vs
Toronto: 7.4
Free Throw % (L5)
+5.6%
Chicago: 84.5%
vs
Toronto: 79.0%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
CHI Score
114.0
122
TOR Score
115.7
121
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
35.1 / 35.2
34.6 / 35.0
Assists
28.5 / 29.9
28.0 / 33.0
Blocks
4.5 / 6.7
6.0 / 8.0
Field Goal %
45.4 / 45.2
48.9 / 46.2
Free Throw %
79.0 / 84.5
73.3 / 78.6
Rebounding
45.3 / 44.7
44.0 / 41.0
Steals
7.4 / 9.2
7.0 / 12.0
Turnovers
14.3 / 15.1
18.0 / 12.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CHI
31-51-0
(37.8%)
Margin: -5.2
ATS +/-: -1.9
TOR
Advantage
49-40-0
(55.1%)
Margin: 2.5
ATS +/-: +1.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CHI
39-43-0
(47.6%)
Margin: -5.2
ATS +/-: -1.9
TOR
Advantage
46-43-0
(51.7%)
Margin: 2.5
ATS +/-: +1.4
⚖️ Over/Under
CHI
38-44-0
O: 46.3% / U: 53.7%
Total +/-: +0.5
TOR
37-52-0
O: 41.6% / U: 58.4%
Total +/-: -1.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
TOR
CHI
TOR
CHI
ML
55%
57-47
56%
54-42
55%
48-39
57%
46-35
ATS
61%
62-40-2
65%
62-33-1
55%
48-39
57%
46-35
TTL
60%
62-42
58%
56-40
100%
87-0
100%
81-0
Contextual Game News
Cooper Flagg and Mavericks Face Media at NBA China Games in Macao
Matt Barnes: Clippers Are Cursed, Urges Steve Ballmer to Rebrand
ATLAS League Launches to Crown World Champion in High School Bas…
Kyrie Irving Set for Mavericks Return in China After 19-Month AC…
Luka Doncic Embraces Lakers Legacy: 'It's an Honor, Not Pressure…