FLORIDA
PANTHERSFLA
18-11-0 | Road
6
EDMONTON
OILERSEDM
18-10-0 | Home
5
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Niko Mikkola
#77 | Defense@
GOALTENDER
Ty Emberson
#49 | Defense| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Niko Mikkola | None-None | -- | -- | -- |
| Ty Emberson | None-None | -- | -- | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
--
GAA
--
--
Save %
--
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
PANTHERS
100%
OILERS
0%
PANTHERS
--
OILERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
7.4
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.4
EDMONTON
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.4 points (Edmonton)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around EDM -1.4 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (EDM)
FLA By 1 goal
9.9%
FLA By 2-3 goals
6.8%
EDM By 1 goal
19.4%
EDM By 2-3 goals
33.2%
AI Model Projected Score
Florida
3.02
FLORIDA
Edmonton
4.4
EDMONTON
Simulated Score
Florida
4
FLORIDA
Edmonton
3
EDMONTON
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Oilers
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Panthers
Win
50% Win Prob
B
Puck Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Oilers (+0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -1.4
D
Sim
Panthers (-0)
Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
B
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 7.4
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 7.0
B
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 19, 2026
FLA @ EDM
4 - 0
Nov 22, 2025
EDM @ FLA
6 - 3
Jun 17, 2025
EDM @ FLA
1 - 5
Jun 14, 2025
FLA @ EDM
5 - 2
Jun 12, 2025
EDM @ FLA
5 - 4
Key Model Drivers
Blocked Shots (L5)
+50.8% more
Edmonton: 16.9
vs
Florida: 11.2
Power Play % (L5)
+28.1%
Edmonton: 42.0%
vs
Florida: 14.0%
Hits (L5)
+55.9% more
Florida: 28.1
vs
Edmonton: 12.4
Takeaways (L5)
+46.2% more
Florida: 7.4
vs
Edmonton: 4.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
FLA Score
3.0
6
EDM Score
4.4
5
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
16.9 / 11.2
15.0 / 13.0
Faceoff %
51.2 / 52.8
58.5 / 41.5
Hits
12.4 / 28.1
21.0 / 39.0
Power Play %
42.0 / 14.0
33.3 / 25.0
Shots on Goal
31.4 / 33.2
30.0 / 28.0
Takeaways
4.0 / 7.4
4.0 / 3.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
EDM
FLA
EDM
FLA
ML
75%
3-1
0%
0-4
50%
2-2
0%
0-4
ATS
75%
3-1
25%
1-3
25%
1-3
50%
2-2
TTL
25%
1-3
25%
1-3
25%
1-3
0%
0-4
Contextual Game News
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