COLORADO
AVALANCHECOL
18-14-0 | Road
1
VANCOUVER
CANUCKSVAN
15-9-0 | Home
3
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Mackenzie Blackwood
#39 | Goaltender@
GOALTENDER
Thatcher Demko
#35 | Goaltender| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mackenzie Blackwood | None-None | 2.11 | 0.917 | -- |
| Thatcher Demko | None-None | 1.00 | 0.968 | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
2.11
GAA
Ldr 1.00
0.917
Save %
Ldr 0.968
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
AVALANCHE
0%
CANUCKS
100%
AVALANCHE
--
CANUCKS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
6.6
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.9
COLORADO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.9 points (Colorado)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-6-4-20+2+4+6
Distribution centered around COL -0.9 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (COL)
COL By 1 goal
19.7%
COL By 2-3 goals
28.8%
VAN By 1 goal
12.5%
VAN By 2-3 goals
9.9%
AI Model Projected Score
Colorado
3.75
COLORADO
Vancouver
2.82
VANCOUVER
Simulated Score
Colorado
4
COLORADO
Vancouver
3
VANCOUVER
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Avalanche
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Avalanche
Loss
50% Win Prob
B
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Avalanche (-0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -0.9
D
Sim
Avalanche (-0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -1.0
B
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 6.6
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 7.0
B
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Apr 1, 2026
VAN @ COL
8 - 6
Dec 2, 2025
VAN @ COL
1 - 3
Nov 9, 2025
COL @ VAN
5 - 4
Apr 10, 2025
VAN @ COL
4 - 1
Feb 4, 2025
COL @ VAN
0 - 3
Key Model Drivers
Shots on Goal (L5)
+22.1% more
Colorado: 28.1
vs
Vancouver: 21.9
Takeaways (L5)
+14.4% more
Colorado: 7.8
vs
Vancouver: 6.7
Hits (L5)
+40.5% more
Vancouver: 28.1
vs
Colorado: 20.0
Power Play % (L5)
+27.3%
Vancouver: 34.6%
vs
Colorado: 7.4%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
COL Score
3.8
1
VAN Score
2.8
3
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
16.0 / 15.0
18.0 / 8.0
Faceoff %
51.8 / 45.3
50.9 / 49.1
Hits
28.1 / 20.0
30.0 / 19.0
Power Play %
3464.0 / 739.0
0.0 / 0.0
Shots on Goal
21.9 / 28.1
25.0 / 31.0
Takeaways
6.7 / 7.8
3.0 / 3.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
VAN
COL
VAN
COL
ML
50%
2-2
67%
2-1
25%
1-3
67%
2-1
ATS
25%
1-3
67%
2-1
50%
2-2
33%
1-2
TTL
50%
2-2
33%
1-2
50%
2-2
67%
2-1
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