Home / NHL Projections NHL / Blues @ Stars STL @ DAL

ST. LOUIS

BLUESSTL

14-14-0  |  Road

1
FINAL
Sat, Dec 14 • 8:00 PM ET
American Airlines Center
View Odds Details →

DALLAS

STARSDAL

17-11-0  |  Home

2
Goaltending
Jordan Binnington
GOALTENDER

Jordan Binnington

#50 | Goaltender
@
Jake Oettinger
GOALTENDER

Jake Oettinger

#29 | Goaltender
Player W-L-OTL GAA SV% SO
Jordan Binnington None-None 1.92 0.946 --
Jake Oettinger None-None 0.96 0.938 --
None-None W-L-OTL None-None
1.92 GAA Ldr 0.96
0.946 Ldr Save % 0.938
-- SO --
AI Model Win Probability
BLUES
100%
📊
STARS
0%
BLUES --
STARS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
6.4
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
0.0
DALLAS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
BluesSTL (-3.5) 0 StarsDAL (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Blues Cover

49.4%

Stars Cover

50.6%

+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around DAL 0.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (DAL)

STL By 1 goal

17.3%

STL By 2-3 goals

18.3%

DAL By 1 goal

17.6%

DAL By 2-3 goals

19.0%

AI Model Projected Score
3.18
ST. LOUIS
3.21
DALLAS
Simulated Score
4
ST. LOUIS
3
DALLAS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Stars Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Blues Loss
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI Stars (+0) Win
Proj Goals: 0.0
D
Sim Blues (-0) Loss
Proj Goals: -1.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 6.4
D
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 7.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Oct 2, 2026 STL @ DAL 4 - 0
Feb 4, 2026 STL @ DAL 4 - 5
Jan 27, 2026 DAL @ STL 4 - 3
Jan 23, 2026 STL @ DAL 2 - 3
Oct 18, 2025 DAL @ STL 1 - 3
Key Model Drivers
Shots on Goal (L5) +28.1% more
Dallas: 32.0 vs St. Louis: 25.0
Faceoff % (L5) +4.0%
Dallas: 54.6% vs St. Louis: 50.6%
Hits (L5) +39.3% more
St. Louis: 23.6 vs Dallas: 14.3
Power Play % (L5) +15.5%
St. Louis: 24.9% vs Dallas: 9.5%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
STL Score 3.2 1
DAL Score 3.2 2
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots 13.2 / 15.4 12.0 / 17.0
Faceoff % 54.6 / 50.6 62.3 / 37.7
Hits 14.3 / 23.6 12.0 / 30.0
Power Play % 9.5 / 24.9 25.0 / 0.0
Shots on Goal 32.0 / 25.0 37.0 / 16.0
Takeaways 4.5 / 4.7 6.0 / 4.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
7%TICKETS93%
17%MONEY83%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
52%TICKETS48%
63%MONEY37%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
66%TICKETS34%
73%MONEY27%
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
DAL
STL
DAL
STL
ML
33% 1-2
33% 1-2
33% 1-2
67% 2-1
ATS
0% 0-3
67% 2-1
33% 1-2
33% 1-2
TTL
100% 3-0
50% 1-1-1
33% 1-2
50% 1-1-1
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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