Home / NHL Projections NHL / Bruins @ Canucks BOS @ VAN

BOSTON

BRUINSBOS

15-13-0  |  Road

5
FINAL
Sat, Dec 14 • 10:00 PM ET
Rogers Arena
View Odds Details →

VANCOUVER

CANUCKSVAN

15-8-0  |  Home

1
Goaltending
Jeremy Swayman
GOALTENDER

Jeremy Swayman

#1 | Goaltender
@
Thatcher Demko
GOALTENDER

Thatcher Demko

#35 | Goaltender
Player W-L-OTL GAA SV% SO
Jeremy Swayman None-None 1.00 0.950 --
Thatcher Demko None-None 5.00 0.821 --
None-None W-L-OTL None-None
1.00 Ldr GAA 5.00
0.950 Ldr Save % 0.821
-- SO --
AI Model Win Probability
BRUINS
0%
📊
CANUCKS
100%
BRUINS --
CANUCKS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
5.2
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.3
BOSTON
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.3 points (Boston)
BruinsBOS (-3.5) 0 CanucksVAN (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Bruins Cover

56.0%

Canucks Cover

44.0%

-6-4-20+2+4+6
Distribution centered around BOS -0.3 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (BOS)

BOS By 1 goal

18.6%

BOS By 2-3 goals

21.9%

VAN By 1 goal

16.1%

VAN By 2-3 goals

15.5%

AI Model Projected Score
2.76
BOSTON
2.46
VANCOUVER
Simulated Score
3
BOSTON
2
VANCOUVER
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Bruins Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Bruins Win
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI Bruins (-0) Win
Proj Goals: -0.3
D
Sim Bruins (-0) Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 5.2
D
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 5.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Jan 3, 2026 BOS @ VAN 3 - 2
Dec 20, 2025 VAN @ BOS 5 - 4
Dec 14, 2024 BOS @ VAN 5 - 1
Nov 26, 2024 VAN @ BOS 2 - 0
Feb 24, 2024 BOS @ VAN 2 - 3
Key Model Drivers
Shots on Goal (L5) +23.9% more
Boston: 30.0 vs Vancouver: 22.8
Hits (L5) +18.6% more
Boston: 33.3 vs Vancouver: 27.1
Takeaways (L5) +49.0% more
Vancouver: 7.5 vs Boston: 5.0
Power Play % (L5) +35.6%
Vancouver: 52.0% vs Boston: 16.4%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
BOS Score 2.8 5
VAN Score 2.5 1
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots 16.5 / 13.9 15.0 / 21.0
Faceoff % 52.4 / 53.8 50.8 / 49.2
Hits 27.1 / 33.3 30.0 / 18.0
Power Play % 52.0 / 16.4 0.0 / 25.0
Shots on Goal 22.8 / 30.0 20.0 / 28.0
Takeaways 7.5 / 5.0 5.0 / 6.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
26%TICKETS74%
26%MONEY74%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
67%TICKETS33%
19%MONEY81%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
72%TICKETS28%
72%MONEY28%
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
VAN
BOS
VAN
BOS
ML
50% 2-2
50% 2-2
25% 1-3
50% 2-2
ATS
25% 1-3
50% 2-2
50% 2-2
50% 2-2
TTL
50% 2-2
75% 3-1
50% 2-2
0% 0-4
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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