FLORIDA
PANTHERSFLA
18-10-0 | Road
0
CALGARY
FLAMESCGY
14-11-0 | Home
3
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Niko Mikkola
#77 | Defense@
GOALTENDER
Dustin Wolf
#32 | Goaltender| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Niko Mikkola | None-None | -- | -- | -- |
| Dustin Wolf | None-None | 0.00 | 1.000 | 1 |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
--
GAA
0.00
--
Save %
1.000
--
SO
1
AI Model Win Probability
PANTHERS
0%
FLAMES
100%
PANTHERS
--
FLAMES
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
6.5
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.5
FLORIDA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.5 points (Florida)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-6-4-20+2+4+6
Distribution centered around FLA -0.5 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (FLA)
FLA By 1 goal
19.2%
FLA By 2-3 goals
24.5%
CGY By 1 goal
14.8%
CGY By 2-3 goals
13.3%
AI Model Projected Score
Florida
3.51
FLORIDA
Calgary
2.98
CALGARY
Simulated Score
Florida
3
FLORIDA
Calgary
2
CALGARY
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Panthers
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Panthers
Loss
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Panthers (-0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -0.5
D
Sim
Panthers (-0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -1.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 6.5
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 5.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 20, 2026
FLA @ CGY
1 - 4
Nov 28, 2025
CGY @ FLA
5 - 3
Mar 1, 2025
CGY @ FLA
0 - 3
Dec 14, 2024
FLA @ CGY
0 - 3
Mar 9, 2024
CGY @ FLA
1 - 5
Key Model Drivers
Hits (L5)
+23.6% more
Florida: 27.2
vs
Calgary: 20.8
Shots on Goal (L5)
+18.6% more
Florida: 33.7
vs
Calgary: 27.5
Faceoff % (L5)
+4.4%
Florida: 48.0%
vs
Calgary: 43.6%
Blocked Shots (L5)
+52.4% more
Calgary: 17.2
vs
Florida: 11.3
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
FLA Score
3.5
0
CGY Score
3.0
3
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
17.2 / 11.3
16.0 / 11.0
Faceoff %
43.6 / 48.0
37.7 / 62.3
Hits
20.8 / 27.2
16.0 / 30.0
Power Play %
2087.0 / 2092.0
0.0 / 0.0
Shots on Goal
27.5 / 33.7
27.0 / 32.0
Takeaways
7.6 / 6.5
7.0 / 9.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CGY
FLA
CGY
FLA
ML
33%
1-2
0%
0-4
33%
1-2
0%
0-4
ATS
33%
1-2
25%
1-3
33%
1-2
50%
2-2
TTL
67%
2-1
25%
1-3
0%
0-3
0%
0-4
Contextual Game News
Barkov Eyes Late November Return; Marchand Could Be Back Soon fo…
Panthers Eyeing Vladimir Tarasenko as Insurance for Brad Marchan…
Flames Promote Aydar Suniev and Jonathan Castagna to Fill Roster…
Brad Marchand Forced Off Ice with Apparent Leg Injury in Panther…
Brad Marchand Injured as Panthers' Injury Woes Deepen