AI Model Win Probability
NETS
0%
GRIZZLIES
100%
NETS
--
GRIZZLIES
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
234.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.9
BROOKLYN
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.9 points (Brooklyn)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around BKN -1.9 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (BKN)
BKN By 1-7 points
26.8%
BKN By 8-14 points
18.4%
MEM By 1-7 points
23.1%
MEM By 8-14 points
12.3%
AI Model Projected Score
Brooklyn
117.94
BROOKLYN
Memphis
116.03
MEMPHIS
Simulated Score
Brooklyn
112
BROOKLYN
Memphis
106
MEMPHIS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Nets
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Nets
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Nets (-0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -1.9
D
Sim
Nets (-0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -6.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 234.0
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 218.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 9, 2026
MEM @ BKN
115 - 126
Jan 11, 2026
BKN @ MEM
98 - 103
Dec 13, 2024
BKN @ MEM
119 - 135
Nov 4, 2024
MEM @ BKN
104 - 106
Oct 30, 2024
BKN @ MEM
119 - 106
Key Model Drivers
Free Throw % (L5)
+2.6%
Brooklyn: 83.3%
vs
Memphis: 80.7%
Blocks (L5)
+59.0% more
Memphis: 6.5
vs
Brooklyn: 4.1
Rebounding (L5)
+30.9% more
Memphis: 47.1
vs
Brooklyn: 36.0
Assists (L5)
+27.0% more
Memphis: 30.3
vs
Brooklyn: 23.9
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
BKN Score
117.9
119
MEM Score
116.0
135
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
38.5 / 39.0
47.2 / 37.7
Assists
30.3 / 23.9
33.0 / 30.0
Blocks
6.5 / 4.1
4.0 / 7.0
Field Goal %
50.2 / 45.8
52.5 / 45.7
Free Throw %
80.7 / 83.3
66.7 / 78.9
Rebounding
47.1 / 36.0
49.0 / 41.0
Steals
11.5 / 9.1
9.0 / 9.0
Turnovers
16.9 / 14.8
13.0 / 18.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
BKN
20-62-0
(24.4%)
Margin: -10.0
ATS +/-: -1.3
MEM
Advantage
25-57-0
(30.5%)
Margin: -6.0
ATS +/-: -0.6
🎯 ATS (Spread)
BKN
Advantage
38-43-1
(46.9%)
Margin: -10.0
ATS +/-: -1.3
MEM
37-45-0
(45.1%)
Margin: -6.0
ATS +/-: -0.6
⚖️ Over/Under
BKN
37-45-0
O: 45.1% / U: 54.9%
Total +/-: -0.7
MEM
43-39-0
O: 52.4% / U: 47.6%
Total +/-: +1.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
MEM
BKN
MEM
BKN
ML
57%
59-44
53%
50-45
50%
41-41
59%
48-34
ATS
63%
65-38
52%
48-44-3
50%
41-41
59%
48-34
TTL
70%
71-31-1
57%
54-41
100%
82-0
100%
82-0