BROOKLYN

NETSBKN

10-14  |  Road

119
FINAL
Fri, Dec 13 • 8:00 PM ET
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MEMPHIS

GRIZZLIESMEM

17-8  |  Home

135
AI Model Win Probability
NETS
0%
📊
GRIZZLIES
100%
NETS --
GRIZZLIES --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
234.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.9
BROOKLYN
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.9 points (Brooklyn)
NetsBKN (-3.5) 0 GrizzliesMEM (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Nets Cover

57.6%

Grizzlies Cover

42.4%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around BKN -1.9 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (BKN)

BKN By 1-7 points

26.8%

BKN By 8-14 points

18.4%

MEM By 1-7 points

23.1%

MEM By 8-14 points

12.3%

AI Model Projected Score
117.94
BROOKLYN
116.03
MEMPHIS
Simulated Score
112
BROOKLYN
106
MEMPHIS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Nets Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Nets Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Nets (-0) Loss
Proj Spread: -1.9
D
Sim Nets (-0) Loss
Proj Spread: -6.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 234.0
D
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 218.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Mar 9, 2026 MEM @ BKN 115 - 126
Jan 11, 2026 BKN @ MEM 98 - 103
Dec 13, 2024 BKN @ MEM 119 - 135
Nov 4, 2024 MEM @ BKN 104 - 106
Oct 30, 2024 BKN @ MEM 119 - 106
Key Model Drivers
Free Throw % (L5) +2.6%
Brooklyn: 83.3% vs Memphis: 80.7%
Blocks (L5) +59.0% more
Memphis: 6.5 vs Brooklyn: 4.1
Rebounding (L5) +30.9% more
Memphis: 47.1 vs Brooklyn: 36.0
Assists (L5) +27.0% more
Memphis: 30.3 vs Brooklyn: 23.9
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
BKN Score 117.9 119
MEM Score 116.0 135
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 38.5 / 39.0 47.2 / 37.7
Assists 30.3 / 23.9 33.0 / 30.0
Blocks 6.5 / 4.1 4.0 / 7.0
Field Goal % 50.2 / 45.8 52.5 / 45.7
Free Throw % 80.7 / 83.3 66.7 / 78.9
Rebounding 47.1 / 36.0 49.0 / 41.0
Steals 11.5 / 9.1 9.0 / 9.0
Turnovers 16.9 / 14.8 13.0 / 18.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
6%TICKETS94%
17%MONEY83%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
44%TICKETS56%
42%MONEY58%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
69%TICKETS31%
70%MONEY30%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
BKN
20-62-0 (24.4%)
Margin: -10.0 ATS +/-: -1.3
MEM Advantage
25-57-0 (30.5%)
Margin: -6.0 ATS +/-: -0.6
🎯 ATS (Spread)
BKN Advantage
38-43-1 (46.9%)
Margin: -10.0 ATS +/-: -1.3
MEM
37-45-0 (45.1%)
Margin: -6.0 ATS +/-: -0.6
⚖️ Over/Under
BKN
37-45-0
O: 45.1% / U: 54.9% Total +/-: -0.7
MEM
43-39-0
O: 52.4% / U: 47.6% Total +/-: +1.4