CHARLOTTE
HORNETSCHA
7-17 | Road
95
CHICAGO
BULLSCHI
10-15 | Home
109
AI Model Win Probability
HORNETS
100%
BULLS
0%
HORNETS
--
BULLS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
221.3
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-7.5
CHICAGO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +7.5 points (Chicago)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around CHI -7.5 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CHI)
CHA By 1-7 points
14.5%
CHA By 8-14 points
5.3%
CHI By 1-7 points
25.8%
CHI By 8-14 points
25.8%
AI Model Projected Score
Charlotte
106.9
CHARLOTTE
Chicago
114.38
CHICAGO
Simulated Score
Charlotte
112
CHARLOTTE
Chicago
108
CHICAGO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Bulls
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Hornets
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Bulls (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -7.5
D
Sim
Hornets (-0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 221.3
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 220.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 24, 2026
CHA @ CHI
131 - 99
Jan 3, 2026
CHA @ CHI
112 - 99
Dec 12, 2025
CHI @ CHA
129 - 126
Nov 28, 2025
CHI @ CHA
116 - 123
Apr 6, 2025
CHI @ CHA
131 - 117
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5)
+34.5% more
Chicago: 31.4
vs
Charlotte: 23.3
Blocks (L5)
+9.0% more
Chicago: 4.5
vs
Charlotte: 4.1
Free Throw % (L5)
+9.0%
Chicago: 84.8%
vs
Charlotte: 75.8%
Field Goal % (L5)
+2.4%
Chicago: 47.9%
vs
Charlotte: 45.5%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
CHA Score
106.9
95
CHI Score
114.4
109
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
39.0 / 38.8
27.5 / 17.4
Assists
31.4 / 23.3
27.0 / 22.0
Blocks
4.5 / 4.1
11.0 / 5.0
Field Goal %
47.9 / 45.5
39.8 / 35.7
Free Throw %
84.8 / 75.8
84.0 / 81.0
Rebounding
41.0 / 42.5
52.0 / 54.0
Steals
7.8 / 7.9
12.0 / 7.0
Turnovers
14.6 / 17.4
16.0 / 17.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CHA
Advantage
45-39-0
(53.6%)
Margin: 4.4
ATS +/-: +4.4
CHI
31-51-0
(37.8%)
Margin: -5.2
ATS +/-: -1.9
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CHA
Advantage
50-34-0
(59.5%)
Margin: 4.4
ATS +/-: +4.4
CHI
39-43-0
(47.6%)
Margin: -5.2
ATS +/-: -1.9
⚖️ Over/Under
CHA
32-52-0
O: 38.1% / U: 61.9%
Total +/-: -3.4
CHI
38-44-0
O: 46.3% / U: 53.7%
Total +/-: +0.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CHI
CHA
CHI
CHA
ML
56%
54-42
61%
60-39
57%
46-35
48%
40-44
ATS
65%
62-33-1
60%
59-40
57%
46-35
48%
40-44
TTL
58%
56-40
58%
57-42
100%
81-0
100%
84-0
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