LA
CLIPPERSLAC
14-11 | Road
98
DENVER
NUGGETSDEN
12-10 | Home
120
AI Model Win Probability
CLIPPERS
0%
NUGGETS
100%
CLIPPERS
--
NUGGETS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
223.6
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-2.4
LA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +2.4 points (LA)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around LAC -2.4 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (LAC)
LAC By 1-7 points
27.0%
LAC By 8-14 points
19.1%
DEN By 1-7 points
22.5%
DEN By 8-14 points
11.6%
AI Model Projected Score
LA
112.99
LA
Denver
110.63
DENVER
Simulated Score
LA
112
LA
Denver
116
DENVER
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Clippers
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Nuggets
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Clippers (-0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -2.4
D
Sim
Nuggets (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 223.6
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 228.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 19, 2026
DEN @ LAC
114 - 115
Jan 30, 2026
LAC @ DEN
109 - 122
Nov 12, 2025
DEN @ LAC
130 - 116
Oct 12, 2025
DEN @ LAC
102 - 94
May 3, 2025
LAC @ DEN
101 - 120
Key Model Drivers
Free Throw % (L5)
+12.4%
LA: 81.5%
vs
Denver: 69.1%
Assists (L5)
+62.6% more
Denver: 35.1
vs
LA: 21.6
Blocks (L5)
+37.9% more
Denver: 5.1
vs
LA: 3.7
Turnovers (L5)
+15.4% more
Denver: 16.5
vs
LA: 14.3
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
LAC Score
113.0
98
DEN Score
110.6
120
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
35.2 / 35.8
34.5 / 34.1
Assists
35.1 / 21.6
23.0 / 24.0
Blocks
5.1 / 3.7
2.0 / 2.0
Field Goal %
54.4 / 44.7
54.5 / 44.6
Free Throw %
69.1 / 81.5
81.3 / 55.6
Rebounding
43.9 / 39.2
46.0 / 31.0
Steals
9.6 / 9.9
15.0 / 18.0
Turnovers
16.5 / 14.3
22.0 / 19.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
LAC
42-41-0
(50.6%)
Margin: 1.1
ATS +/-: -0.4
DEN
Advantage
56-32-0
(63.6%)
Margin: 4.5
ATS +/-: +0.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
LAC
42-41-0
(50.6%)
Margin: 1.1
ATS +/-: -0.4
DEN
Advantage
46-42-0
(52.3%)
Margin: 4.5
ATS +/-: +0.3
⚖️ Over/Under
LAC
41-42-0
O: 49.4% / U: 50.6%
Total +/-: +2.2
DEN
53-35-0
O: 60.2% / U: 39.8%
Total +/-: +3.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
DEN
LAC
DEN
LAC
ML
54%
57-48
60%
59-40
55%
47-39
55%
45-37
ATS
63%
65-38-2
66%
65-33-1
55%
47-39
55%
45-37
TTL
54%
56-48-1
59%
58-40-1
100%
86-0
100%
82-0
Contextual Game News
Tyler Kolek's Girlfriend Spills: Knicks Parade Police Mix-Up Hap…
Cooper Flagg and Mavericks Face Media at NBA China Games in Macao
Matt Barnes: Clippers Are Cursed, Urges Steve Ballmer to Rebrand
ATLAS League Launches to Crown World Champion in High School Bas…
Kyrie Irving Set for Mavericks Return in China After 19-Month AC…