OTTAWA
SENATORSOTT
13-13-0 | Road
3
CAROLINA
HURRICANESCAR
18-9-0 | Home
0
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Linus Ullmark
#35 | Goaltender@
GOALTENDER
Pyotr Kochetkov
#52 | Goaltender| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Linus Ullmark | None-None | 0.00 | 1.000 | 1 |
| Pyotr Kochetkov | None-None | 2.10 | 0.905 | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
0.00 Ldr
GAA
2.10
1.000 Ldr
Save %
0.905
1 Ldr
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
SENATORS
100%
HURRICANES
0%
SENATORS
--
HURRICANES
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
6.7
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.9
CAROLINA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.9 points (Carolina)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around CAR -1.9 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CAR)
OTT By 1 goal
7.1%
OTT By 2-3 goals
4.2%
CAR By 1 goal
17.9%
CAR By 2-3 goals
36.7%
AI Model Projected Score
Ottawa
2.39
OTTAWA
Carolina
4.28
CAROLINA
Simulated Score
Ottawa
2
OTTAWA
Carolina
4
CAROLINA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Hurricanes
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Hurricanes
Loss
50% Win Prob
A
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Hurricanes (+0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -1.9
D
Sim
Hurricanes (+0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -2.0
A
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 6.7
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 6.0
A
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Apr 25, 2026
CAR @ OTT
4 - 2
Apr 23, 2026
CAR @ OTT
2 - 1
Apr 20, 2026
OTT @ CAR
2 - 3
Apr 18, 2026
OTT @ CAR
0 - 2
Apr 5, 2026
CAR @ OTT
3 - 6
Key Model Drivers
Takeaways (L5)
+56.1% more
Carolina: 6.9
vs
Ottawa: 4.4
Power Play % (L5)
+3.7%
Carolina: 36.0%
vs
Ottawa: 32.3%
Faceoff % (L5)
+7.4%
Ottawa: 59.3%
vs
Carolina: 51.8%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
OTT Score
2.4
3
CAR Score
4.3
0
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
12.7 / 13.3
8.0 / 16.0
Faceoff %
51.8 / 59.3
44.9 / 55.1
Hits
22.6 / 21.7
29.0 / 26.0
Power Play %
3597.0 / 3227.0
0.0 / 0.0
Shots on Goal
28.8 / 31.0
32.0 / 22.0
Takeaways
6.9 / 4.4
9.0 / 10.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CAR
OTT
CAR
OTT
ML
75%
3-1
0%
0-3
25%
1-3
67%
2-1
ATS
50%
2-2
0%
0-3
100%
4-0
67%
2-1
TTL
0%
0-4
67%
2-1
25%
1-3
67%
2-1
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