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CHICAGO

BEARSCHI

4-9  |  Road

12
FINAL
Mon, Dec 16 • 8:00 PM ET
U.S. Bank Stadium
View Odds Details →

MINNESOTA

VIKINGSMIN

11-2  |  Home

30
Key Game
Tory Taylor
KEY GAME

Tory Taylor

#19 | Punter
@
Will Reichard
KEY GAME

Will Reichard

#16 | Place kicker
Player
Tory Taylor None-None
Will Reichard None-None
None-None W-L None-None
AI Model Win Probability
BEARS
7%
📊
VIKINGS
93%
BEARS --
VIKINGS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
46.8
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 50%
Under 0 50%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-5.4
MINNESOTA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +5.4 points (Minnesota)
BearsCHI (-3.5) 0 VikingsMIN (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Bears Cover

35.0%

Vikings Cover

65.0%

+42+28+140-14-28-42
Distribution centered around MIN -5.4 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (MIN)

CHI By 1-6 points

13.9%

CHI By 7-13 points

10.9%

MIN By 1-6 points

16.8%

MIN By 7-13 points

18.7%

AI Model Projected Score
20.7
CHICAGO
26.09
MINNESOTA
Simulated Score
23
CHICAGO
27
MINNESOTA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement 👑 Top Selection
AI Vikings Win
93% Win Prob
A
Sim Vikings Win
50% Win Prob
B
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement 👑 Top Selection
AI Vikings (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -5.4
B
Sim Vikings (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
B
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 46.8
D
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 50.0
B
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Sep 20, 2026 MIN @ CHI 9 - 3
Nov 16, 2025 CHI @ MIN 19 - 17
Sep 8, 2025 MIN @ CHI 27 - 24
Dec 16, 2024 CHI @ MIN 12 - 30
Nov 24, 2024 MIN @ CHI 30 - 27
Key Model Drivers
Net Passing Yards (L5) +52.6% more
Minnesota: 270.4 vs Chicago: 177.2
Yards Per Play (L5) +47.0% more
Minnesota: 6.4 vs Chicago: 4.3
Total Yards (L5) +40.5% more
Minnesota: 375.9 vs Chicago: 267.5
Turnovers (L5) +33.0% more
Minnesota: 0.9 vs Chicago: 0.6
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
CHI Score 20.7 12
MIN Score 26.1 30
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
First Downs 22.2 / 16.8 24.0 / 16.0
Net Passing Yards 270.4 / 177.2 215.0 / 171.0
Rushing Yards 105.5 / 90.3 114.0 / 113.0
Third Down Efficiency 0.4 / 0.4 0.5 / 0.08
Time of Possession 0.5 / 0.5 0.5 / 0.5
Total Yards 375.9 / 267.5 329.0 / 284.0
Turnovers 0.9 / 0.6 1.0 / 1.0
Yards Per Play 6.4 / 4.3 4.6 / 4.5
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
10%TICKETS90%
1%MONEY99%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
22%TICKETS78%
23%MONEY77%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
81%TICKETS19%
61%MONEY39%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CHI
3-1-0 (75.0%)
Margin: 11.8 ATS +/-: +9.9
MIN Advantage
4-0-0 (100.0%)
Margin: 8.8 ATS +/-: +7.0
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CHI
3-1-0 (75.0%)
Margin: 11.8 ATS +/-: +9.9
MIN
3-1-0 (75.0%)
Margin: 8.8 ATS +/-: +7.0
⚖️ Over/Under
CHI
1-3-0
O: 25.0% / U: 75.0% Total +/-: -0.5
MIN
1-3-0
O: 25.0% / U: 75.0% Total +/-: -9.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
MIN
CHI
MIN
CHI
ML
25% 1-3
75% 3-1
50% 2-2
75% 3-1
ATS
25% 1-3
75% 3-1
100% 4-0
100% 4-0
TTL
0% 0-4
0% 0-4
25% 1-3
25% 1-3
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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