DETROIT
PISTONSDET
10-15 | Road
99
BOSTON
CELTICSBOS
19-5 | Home
123
AI Model Win Probability
PISTONS
100%
CELTICS
0%
PISTONS
--
CELTICS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
232.6
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-7.7
BOSTON
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +7.7 points (Boston)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around BOS -7.7 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (BOS)
DET By 1-7 points
14.1%
DET By 8-14 points
5.1%
BOS By 1-7 points
25.6%
BOS By 8-14 points
26.0%
AI Model Projected Score
Detroit
112.44
DETROIT
Boston
120.17
BOSTON
Simulated Score
Detroit
114
DETROIT
Boston
119
BOSTON
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Celtics
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Celtics
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Celtics (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -7.7
D
Sim
Celtics (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 232.6
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 233.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jan 19, 2026
BOS @ DET
103 - 104
Dec 15, 2025
DET @ BOS
112 - 105
Nov 26, 2025
DET @ BOS
114 - 117
Oct 26, 2025
BOS @ DET
113 - 119
Feb 26, 2025
BOS @ DET
97 - 117
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+83.9% more
Boston: 6.8
vs
Detroit: 3.7
Rebounding (L5)
+15.4% more
Boston: 46.9
vs
Detroit: 40.7
Turnovers (L5)
+35.6% more
Detroit: 18.3
vs
Boston: 11.8
Steals (L5)
+15.6% more
Detroit: 8.2
vs
Boston: 6.9
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
DET Score
112.4
99
BOS Score
120.2
123
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
34.0 / 43.5
41.7 / 18.9
Assists
26.3 / 26.3
34.0 / 27.0
Blocks
6.8 / 3.7
4.0 / 4.0
Field Goal %
43.9 / 49.1
51.1 / 42.9
Free Throw %
77.9 / 79.3
84.6 / 80.0
Rebounding
46.9 / 40.7
51.0 / 43.0
Steals
6.9 / 8.2
6.0 / 8.0
Turnovers
11.8 / 18.3
14.0 / 8.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
DET
Advantage
67-29-0
(69.8%)
Margin: 7.2
ATS +/-: +2.0
BOS
59-30-0
(66.3%)
Margin: 7.3
ATS +/-: +2.2
🎯 ATS (Spread)
DET
50-46-0
(52.1%)
Margin: 7.2
ATS +/-: +2.0
BOS
Advantage
51-38-0
(57.3%)
Margin: 7.3
ATS +/-: +2.2
⚖️ Over/Under
DET
45-50-1
O: 47.4% / U: 52.6%
Total +/-: -0.8
BOS
32-57-0
O: 36.0% / U: 64.0%
Total +/-: -3.2
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
BOS
DET
BOS
DET
ML
57%
61-46
55%
64-53
53%
47-41
49%
47-49
ATS
59%
61-43-3
53%
60-54-3
53%
47-41
49%
47-49
TTL
56%
60-47
60%
70-46-1
100%
88-0
100%
96-0
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