CHICAGO
BLACKHAWKSCHI
9-17-0 | Road
4
NEW YORK
ISLANDERSNYI
11-12-0 | Home
5
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Drew Commesso
#33 | G@
GOALTENDER
Ilya Sorokin
#30 | Goaltender| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Drew Commesso | None-None | 0.00 | 1.000 | -- |
| Ilya Sorokin | None-None | 4.00 | 0.867 | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
0.00 Ldr
GAA
4.00
1.000 Ldr
Save %
0.867
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
BLACKHAWKS
100%
ISLANDERS
0%
BLACKHAWKS
--
ISLANDERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
4.8
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.1
NEW YORK
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.1 points (New York)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around NYI -0.1 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (NYI)
CHI By 1 goal
17.0%
CHI By 2-3 goals
17.6%
NYI By 1 goal
17.9%
NYI By 2-3 goals
19.7%
AI Model Projected Score
Chicago
2.37
CHICAGO
New York
2.47
NEW YORK
Simulated Score
Chicago
CHICAGO
New York
NEW YORK
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Islanders
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Loss
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Islanders (+0)
Win
Proj Goals: -0.1
D
Sim
Loss
Proj Goals: 0.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 4.8
D
Sim
u0.0
Loss
Proj Total: 0.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 24, 2026
CHI @ NYI
4 - 3
Dec 30, 2025
NYI @ CHI
3 - 2
Dec 15, 2024
NYI @ CHI
3 - 5
Dec 12, 2024
CHI @ NYI
4 - 5
Apr 2, 2024
CHI @ NYI
1 - 2
Key Model Drivers
Hits (L5)
+51.5% more
New York: 22.6
vs
Chicago: 14.9
Blocked Shots (L5)
+14.7% more
New York: 16.5
vs
Chicago: 14.4
Faceoff % (L5)
+6.1%
New York: 47.2%
vs
Chicago: 41.1%
Takeaways (L5)
+16.6% more
Chicago: 5.7
vs
New York: 4.8
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
CHI Score
2.4
4
NYI Score
2.5
5
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
16.5 / 14.4
19.0 / 15.0
Faceoff %
47.2 / 41.1
72.7 / 27.3
Hits
22.6 / 14.9
22.0 / 15.0
Power Play %
24.2 / 29.9
0.0 / 50.0
Shots on Goal
21.3 / 24.9
21.0 / 30.0
Takeaways
4.8 / 5.7
6.0 / 5.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
NYI
CHI
NYI
CHI
ML
67%
2-1
75%
3-1
67%
2-1
75%
3-1
ATS
33%
1-2
75%
3-1
33%
1-2
100%
4-0
TTL
100%
2-0-1
33%
1-2-1
100%
2-0-1
67%
2-1-1
Contextual Game News
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Islanders' Blue Line Shake-Up: Three Defenders Who Must Elevate …
Gavin McKenna Nets First NHL Goal and Assist in Maple Leafs' Ove…
Islanders Lock Up Czech Blueliner Vladimir Dravecky with Three-Y…
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