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NASHVILLE

PREDATORSNSH

7-16-0  |  Road

4
FINAL
Thu, Dec 12 • 8:00 PM ET
American Airlines Center
View Odds Details →

DALLAS

STARSDAL

17-10-0  |  Home

1
Goaltending
Justus Annunen
GOALTENDER

Justus Annunen

#29 | Goaltender
@
Jake Oettinger
GOALTENDER

Jake Oettinger

#29 | Goaltender
Player W-L-OTL GAA SV% SO
Justus Annunen None-None 1.00 0.972 --
Jake Oettinger None-None 3.04 0.880 --
None-None W-L-OTL None-None
1.00 Ldr GAA 3.04
0.972 Ldr Save % 0.880
-- SO --
AI Model Win Probability
PREDATORS
100%
📊
STARS
0%
PREDATORS --
STARS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
5.4
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
DALLAS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Dallas)
PredatorsNSH (-3.5) 0 StarsDAL (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Predators Cover

31.0%

Stars Cover

69.0%

+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around DAL -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (DAL)

NSH By 1 goal

12.2%

NSH By 2-3 goals

9.4%

DAL By 1 goal

19.7%

DAL By 2-3 goals

29.5%

AI Model Projected Score
2.21
NASHVILLE
3.2
DALLAS
Simulated Score
3
NASHVILLE
5
DALLAS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Stars Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Stars Loss
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI Stars (+0) Loss
Proj Goals: -1.0
D
Sim Stars (+0) Loss
Proj Goals: -2.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 5.4
D
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 8.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Oct 3, 2026 DAL @ NSH 1 - 2
Feb 28, 2026 NSH @ DAL 2 - 3
Nov 8, 2025 DAL @ NSH 5 - 4
Oct 26, 2025 DAL @ NSH 3 - 2
Apr 16, 2025 DAL @ NSH 1 - 5
Key Model Drivers
Takeaways (L5) +20.7% more
Dallas: 5.2 vs Nashville: 4.3
Blocked Shots (L5) +13.3% more
Dallas: 15.3 vs Nashville: 13.5
Shots on Goal (L5) +10.9% more
Dallas: 30.0 vs Nashville: 27.0
Power Play % (L5) +10.9%
Dallas: 14.2% vs Nashville: 3.3%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
NSH Score 2.2 4
DAL Score 3.2 1
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots 15.3 / 13.5 9.0 / 18.0
Faceoff % 51.3 / 51.2 61.4 / 38.6
Hits 12.5 / 25.2 18.0 / 20.0
Power Play % 1418.0 / 331.0 0.0 / 0.0
Shots on Goal 30.0 / 27.0 36.0 / 26.0
Takeaways 5.2 / 4.3 3.0 / 4.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
4%TICKETS96%
5%MONEY95%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
20%TICKETS80%
42%MONEY58%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
89%TICKETS11%
89%MONEY11%
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
DAL
NSH
DAL
NSH
ML
33% 1-2
67% 2-1
33% 1-2
33% 1-2
ATS
0% 0-3
0% 0-3
33% 1-2
67% 2-1
TTL
100% 3-0
100% 3-0
33% 1-2
33% 1-2
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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