EDMONTON
OILERSEDM
16-10-0 | Road
7
MINNESOTA
WILDMIN
19-5-0 | Home
1
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Ty Emberson
#49 | Defense@
GOALTENDER
Filip Gustavsson
#32 | Goaltender| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ty Emberson | None-None | -- | -- | -- |
| Filip Gustavsson | None-None | 7.50 | 0.808 | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
--
GAA
7.50
--
Save %
0.808
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
OILERS
100%
WILD
0%
OILERS
--
WILD
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
6.6
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.5
MINNESOTA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.5 points (Minnesota)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around MIN -0.5 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (MIN)
EDM By 1 goal
14.9%
EDM By 2-3 goals
13.5%
MIN By 1 goal
19.2%
MIN By 2-3 goals
24.3%
AI Model Projected Score
Edmonton
3.05
EDMONTON
Minnesota
3.56
MINNESOTA
Simulated Score
Edmonton
3
EDMONTON
Minnesota
4
MINNESOTA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Wild
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Wild
Loss
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Wild (+0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -0.5
D
Sim
Wild (+0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -1.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 6.6
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 7.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jan 31, 2026
MIN @ EDM
7 - 3
Dec 20, 2025
EDM @ MIN
2 - 5
Dec 2, 2025
MIN @ EDM
1 - 0
Jan 15, 2025
EDM @ MIN
5 - 3
Dec 12, 2024
EDM @ MIN
7 - 1
Key Model Drivers
Hits (L5)
+107.2% more
Minnesota: 21.6
vs
Edmonton: 10.4
Takeaways (L5)
+40.4% more
Minnesota: 5.1
vs
Edmonton: 3.7
Shots on Goal (L5)
+13.6% more
Minnesota: 31.4
vs
Edmonton: 27.6
Blocked Shots (L5)
+8.6% more
Minnesota: 16.5
vs
Edmonton: 15.2
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
EDM Score
3.1
7
MIN Score
3.6
1
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
16.5 / 15.2
14.0 / 11.0
Faceoff %
48.8 / 55.3
44.0 / 56.0
Hits
21.6 / 10.4
23.0 / 8.0
Power Play %
7.7 / 32.0
33.3 / 50.0
Shots on Goal
31.4 / 27.6
30.0 / 35.0
Takeaways
5.1 / 3.7
3.0 / 3.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
MIN
EDM
MIN
EDM
ML
67%
2-1
75%
3-1
33%
1-2
50%
2-2
ATS
33%
1-2
75%
3-1
33%
1-2
25%
1-3
TTL
100%
3-0
25%
1-3
67%
2-1
25%
1-3
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